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Gasoline Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global gasoline market is worth USD 1.7 tn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.8 tn by 2036, growing at a 0.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Regular is the largest by grade segment.

USD 1.7 tnMarket size 2026
USD 1.8 tnForecast 2036
0.5%CAGR 2026-2036
United StatesLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global gasoline market is worth USD 1.7 tn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.8 tn by 2036, growing at a 0.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Regular is the largest by grade segment.

ScopeMotor gasoline sold to drivers and fleets worldwide, counted at retail pump prices including ethanol-blended grades.
IndustryOil and Gas
Value 2025USD 1.7 tn
Value 2026USD 1.7 tn
Value 2036USD 1.8 tn
CAGR 2026-20360.5%
Volume 20261,484 billion litres
Volume 20361,484 billion litres
Average price 2026USD 1.15 per litre
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Gasoline market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global gasoline market is forecast to grow from USD 1.7 tn in 2026 to USD 1.8 tn by 2036, a rise of 5%Global market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 0.5%
Gasoline market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 1,700 bn; 2026: USD 1,714 bn; 2027: USD 1,722 bn; 2028: USD 1,731 bn; 2029: USD 1,739 bn; 2030: USD 1,748 bn; 2031: USD 1,757 bn; 2032: USD 1,766 bn; 2033: USD 1,774 bn; 2034: USD 1,783 bn; 2035: USD 1,792 bn; 2036: USD 1,801 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 0.5%.20251,714 bn20261,757 bn20311,801 bn20360.5% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 1,714 bn
2027USD 1,722 bn
2028USD 1,731 bn
2029USD 1,739 bn
2030USD 1,748 bn
2031USD 1,757 bn
2032USD 1,766 bn
2033USD 1,774 bn
2034USD 1,783 bn
2035USD 1,792 bn
2036USD 1,801 bn

Gasoline market segmentation

By grade

Exhibit 2Regular is the largest segment by grade, with 62.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by grade
Gasoline market share by grade, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by grade. Regular: 62.0%; Premium: 29.0%; Midgrade: 9.0%.Regular62.0%Premium29.0%Midgrade9.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Regular62.0%60.6%USD 1.1 tn0.3%
Midgrade9.0%9.0%USD 154 bn0.5%
Premium29.0%30.4%USD 497 bn1.0%

By ethanol blend

Exhibit 3E10 adds the most revenue by ethanol blend, growing from USD 857 bn in 2026 to USD 911 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by ethanol blend, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Gasoline market by ethanol blend, 2026 and 2036Revenue by ethanol blend in 2026 and 2036. E10: USD 857 bn in 2026, USD 911 bn in 2036, change +6%; Straight gasoline: USD 651 bn in 2026, USD 626 bn in 2036, change −4%; E15 to E25: USD 120 bn in 2026, USD 148 bn in 2036, change +23%; E85 and higher: USD 85.7 bn in 2026, USD 116 bn in 2036, change +36%.20262036 forecastChangeE10+6%857 bn911 bnStraight gasoline−4%651 bn626 bnE15 to E25+23%120 bn148 bnE85 and higher+36%85.7 bn116 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Straight gasoline38.0%34.8%USD 651 bn-0.4%
E1050.0%50.6%USD 857 bn0.6%
E15 to E257.0%8.2%USD 120 bn2.1%
E85 and higher5.0%6.5%USD 85.7 bn3.1%

By sales channel

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Oil company branded stations40.0%38.0%USD 685 bn-0.01%
Independent and unbranded stations28.0%28.0%USD 480 bn0.5%
Supermarket forecourts16.0%15.0%USD 274 bn-0.1%
Fleet and commercial16.0%19.0%USD 274 bn2.2%

By vehicle type

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Passenger cars66.0%58.0%USD 1.1 tn-0.8%
Two- and three-wheelers18.0%22.0%USD 308 bn2.5%
Light commercial vehicles10.0%11.0%USD 171 bn1.5%
Small engines and others6.0%9.0%USD 103 bn4.7%

By supply source

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Domestic refineries60.0%57.0%USD 1.0 tn-0.01%
Imports30.0%32.0%USD 514 bn1.1%
Blending components10.0%11.0%USD 171 bn1.5%

Top 25 countries for gasoline by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 64.3% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 89.3%.

Exhibit 4United States is the largest country market at USD 463 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 44.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Gasoline market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. United States: USD 463 bn, 27.0%; China: USD 206 bn, 12.0%; India: USD 85.7 bn, 5.0%; Brazil: USD 60.0 bn, 3.5%; Japan: USD 51.4 bn, 3.0%; Germany: USD 51.4 bn, 3.0%; Mexico: USD 51.4 bn, 3.0%; Canada: USD 48.0 bn, 2.8%; United Kingdom: USD 42.8 bn, 2.5%; Russia: USD 42.8 bn, 2.5%.United States463 bn 27.0%China206 bn 12.0%India85.7 bn 5.0%Brazil60.0 bn 3.5%Japan51.4 bn 3.0%Germany51.4 bn 3.0%Mexico51.4 bn 3.0%Canada48.0 bn 2.8%United Kingdom42.8 bn 2.5%Russia42.8 bn 2.5%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1United StatesUSD 463 bn27.0%USD 477 bn0.3%
2ChinaUSD 206 bn12.0%USD 213 bn0.3%
3IndiaUSD 85.7 bn5.0%USD 119 bn3.3%
4BrazilUSD 60.0 bn3.5%USD 64.8 bn0.8%
5JapanUSD 51.4 bn3.0%USD 52.2 bn0.2%
6GermanyUSD 51.4 bn3.0%USD 52.2 bn0.2%
7MexicoUSD 51.4 bn3.0%USD 52.2 bn0.2%
8CanadaUSD 48.0 bn2.8%USD 48.6 bn0.1%
9United KingdomUSD 42.8 bn2.5%USD 45.0 bn0.5%
10RussiaUSD 42.8 bn2.5%USD 45.0 bn0.5%
11IndonesiaUSD 41.5 bn2.4%USD 53.3 bn2.5%
12FranceUSD 41.5 bn2.4%USD 36.2 bn-1.4%
13ItalyUSD 41.5 bn2.4%USD 36.2 bn-1.4%
14Saudi ArabiaUSD 40.3 bn2.4%USD 41.4 bn0.3%
15South KoreaUSD 36.7 bn2.1%USD 37.6 bn0.3%
16IranUSD 33.4 bn1.9%USD 34.2 bn0.2%
17SpainUSD 30.3 bn1.8%USD 26.5 bn-1.4%
18AustraliaUSD 27.6 bn1.6%USD 28.3 bn0.2%
19ThailandUSD 25.2 bn1.5%USD 25.8 bn0.2%
20TurkeyUSD 23.0 bn1.3%USD 23.4 bn0.2%
21VietnamUSD 20.9 bn1.2%USD 26.7 bn2.5%
22ArgentinaUSD 19.0 bn1.1%USD 19.5 bn0.2%
23South AfricaUSD 17.3 bn1.0%USD 17.7 bn0.2%
24PolandUSD 15.8 bn0.9%USD 16.0 bn0.2%
25EgyptUSD 14.2 bn0.8%USD 18.4 bn2.6%
Rest of worldUSD 184 bn10.7%USD 191 bn0.4%
Exhibit 5India and United States account for 55% of the USD 87.6 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Gasoline market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 1.7 tn. India: +USD 33.2 bn; United States: +USD 14.7 bn; Indonesia: +USD 11.8 bn; China: +USD 6.9 bn; Vietnam: +USD 5.8 bn; 20 other countries: +USD 7.9 bn; Rest of world: +USD 7.4 bn. Market value 2036: USD 1.8 tn.India+33.2 bnUnited States+14.7 bnIndonesia+11.8 bnChina+6.9 bnVietnam+5.8 bn20 other countries+7.9 bnRest of world+7.4 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • ExxonMobil
  • Shell
  • BP
  • TotalEnergies
  • Chevron
  • Sinopec
  • Saudi Aramco

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • PetroChina
  • Reliance Industries
  • Indian Oil
  • Marathon Petroleum
  • Valero Energy
  • Petrobras
  • Phillips 66
  • ENEOS
  • Repsol
  • Eni

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Par Pacific
  • Delek US
  • CVR Energy
  • Motiva Enterprises
  • HF Sinclair
  • Hindustan Petroleum

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the gasoline market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 0.5% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by grade, by ethanol blend, by sales channel, by vehicle type, by supply source. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the gasoline market?

The global gasoline market is estimated at USD 1.7 tn in 2025 and USD 1.7 tn in 2026.

How fast will the gasoline market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 1.8 tn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 0.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 87.6 bn.

Which country is the largest market for gasoline?

United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 463 bn in 2026, 27.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 44.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 3.3% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which gasoline segment is largest?

In the by grade split, Regular is the largest segment with 62.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading gasoline companies?

Global leaders include ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, TotalEnergies.

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