Market overview
The global granola market is worth USD 5.1 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 8.7 bn by 2036, growing at a 5.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Loose cereal and clusters is the largest by form segment.
| Scope | Granola cereal, clusters and granola bars sold through retail and foodservice, in plain, nut, fruit and chocolate varieties. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Food and Beverage |
| Value 2025 | USD 4.8 bn |
| Value 2026 | USD 5.1 bn |
| Value 2036 | USD 8.7 bn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 5.5% |
| Volume 2026 | 644,434 tonnes |
| Volume 2036 | 948,511 tonnes |
| Average price 2026 | USD 7,858 per tonne |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Granola market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 5.1 bn |
| 2027 | USD 5.3 bn |
| 2028 | USD 5.6 bn |
| 2029 | USD 5.9 bn |
| 2030 | USD 6.3 bn |
| 2031 | USD 6.6 bn |
| 2032 | USD 7.0 bn |
| 2033 | USD 7.4 bn |
| 2034 | USD 7.8 bn |
| 2035 | USD 8.2 bn |
| 2036 | USD 8.7 bn |
Granola market segmentation
By form
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loose cereal and clusters | 56.0% | 49.7% | USD 2.8 bn | 4.2% |
| Bars | 28.0% | 31.5% | USD 1.4 bn | 6.8% |
| Bites and snacks | 8.0% | 11.4% | USD 405 mn | 9.3% |
| Other | 8.0% | 7.4% | USD 405 mn | 4.8% |
By flavour
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plain and original | 36.0% | 32.7% | USD 1.8 bn | 4.5% |
| Nuts and seeds | 28.0% | 29.3% | USD 1.4 bn | 6.0% |
| Fruit | 22.0% | 22.0% | USD 1.1 bn | 5.5% |
| Chocolate and other | 14.0% | 16.1% | USD 709 mn | 7.0% |
By channel
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supermarkets | 54.0% | 46.9% | USD 2.7 bn | 4.0% |
| Online | 20.0% | 27.7% | USD 1.0 bn | 9.0% |
| Convenience | 14.0% | 13.4% | USD 709 mn | 5.0% |
| Specialty and natural | 12.0% | 12.0% | USD 608 mn | 5.5% |
By price tier
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mass-market | 52.0% | 48.0% | USD 2.6 bn | 4.7% |
| Premium | 36.0% | 38.0% | USD 1.8 bn | 6.1% |
| Super-premium and artisan | 12.0% | 14.0% | USD 608 mn | 7.1% |
By label claim
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conventional | 56.0% | 50.0% | USD 2.8 bn | 4.3% |
| Organic | 18.0% | 20.0% | USD 912 mn | 6.6% |
| Gluten-free and grain-free | 14.0% | 16.0% | USD 709 mn | 6.9% |
| Vegan and plant-based | 12.0% | 14.0% | USD 608 mn | 7.1% |
Top 25 countries for granola by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 75.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 93.5%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | USD 2.1 bn | 41.0% | USD 3.4 bn | 5.0% |
| 2 | United Kingdom | USD 354 mn | 7.0% | USD 580 mn | 5.0% |
| 3 | Canada | USD 253 mn | 5.0% | USD 415 mn | 5.1% |
| 4 | Germany | USD 253 mn | 5.0% | USD 432 mn | 5.5% |
| 5 | Australia | USD 203 mn | 4.0% | USD 346 mn | 5.5% |
| 6 | France | USD 152 mn | 3.0% | USD 260 mn | 5.5% |
| 7 | China | USD 152 mn | 3.0% | USD 381 mn | 9.6% |
| 8 | Japan | USD 152 mn | 3.0% | USD 277 mn | 6.2% |
| 9 | Netherlands | USD 101 mn | 2.0% | USD 173 mn | 5.5% |
| 10 | Brazil | USD 101 mn | 2.0% | USD 216 mn | 7.9% |
| 11 | Italy | USD 101 mn | 2.0% | USD 163 mn | 4.9% |
| 12 | Spain | USD 101 mn | 2.0% | USD 163 mn | 4.9% |
| 13 | Sweden | USD 90 mn | 1.8% | USD 145 mn | 4.9% |
| 14 | Denmark | USD 78 mn | 1.5% | USD 126 mn | 4.9% |
| 15 | Switzerland | USD 70 mn | 1.4% | USD 112 mn | 4.9% |
| 16 | Ireland | USD 64 mn | 1.3% | USD 103 mn | 4.9% |
| 17 | Belgium | USD 59 mn | 1.2% | USD 95 mn | 4.9% |
| 18 | Austria | USD 55 mn | 1.1% | USD 89 mn | 4.9% |
| 19 | Norway | USD 52 mn | 1.0% | USD 84 mn | 4.9% |
| 20 | Poland | USD 49 mn | 1.0% | USD 102 mn | 7.6% |
| 21 | South Korea | USD 47 mn | 0.9% | USD 97 mn | 7.5% |
| 22 | Mexico | USD 45 mn | 0.9% | USD 93 mn | 7.6% |
| 23 | New Zealand | USD 43 mn | 0.8% | USD 70 mn | 5.0% |
| 24 | Russia | USD 42 mn | 0.8% | USD 58 mn | 3.4% |
| 25 | India | USD 41 mn | 0.8% | USD 104 mn | 9.9% |
| Rest of world | USD 329 mn | 6.5% | USD 565 mn | 5.5% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- General Mills
- PepsiCo
- Nestle
- Post Holdings
- Kellanova
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Nature's Path
- Bob's Red Mill
- Jordans Dorset Ryvita
- KIND Snacks
- Weetabix
- Mornflake
- Calbee
- Bagrry's
- Freedom Foods Group
- Bakery on Main
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Purely Elizabeth
- LOVE GROWN Foods
- Rude Health
- Back Roads Granola
- Michele's Granola
- Eat Natural
- Early Bird Granola
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the granola market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 5.5% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by form, by flavour, by channel, by price tier, by label claim. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the granola market?
The global granola market is estimated at USD 4.8 bn in 2025 and USD 5.1 bn in 2026.
How fast will the granola market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 8.7 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 5.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 3.6 bn.
Which country is the largest market for granola?
United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 2.1 bn in 2026, 41.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 53.0%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, China is growing fastest at 9.6% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which granola segment is largest?
In the by form split, Loose cereal and clusters is the largest segment with 56.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading granola companies?
Global leaders include General Mills, PepsiCo, Nestle, Post Holdings.
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