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Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global sustainable aviation fuel market is worth USD 6.0 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 55.7 bn by 2036, growing at a 25.0% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and HEFA (fats and oils) is the largest by pathway segment.

USD 6.0 bnMarket size 2026
USD 55.7 bnForecast 2036
25.0%CAGR 2026-2036
United StatesLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global sustainable aviation fuel market is worth USD 6.0 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 55.7 bn by 2036, growing at a 25.0% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and HEFA (fats and oils) is the largest by pathway segment.

ScopeSustainable aviation fuel (HEFA, alcohol-to-jet, Fischer-Tropsch and power-to-liquid) sold to airlines and fuel suppliers for blending with jet fuel.
IndustryChemicals and Materials
Value 2025USD 4.6 bn
Value 2026USD 6.0 bn
Value 2036USD 55.7 bn
CAGR 2026-203625.0%
Volume 20262,520 thousand tonnes
Volume 203628,728 thousand tonnes
Average price 2026USD 2,373 per tonne
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Sustainable Aviation Fuel market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global sustainable aviation fuel market is forecast to grow from USD 6.0 bn in 2026 to USD 55.7 bn by 2036, more than five times its 2026 sizeGlobal market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 25.0%
Sustainable Aviation Fuel market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 4.6 bn; 2026: USD 6.0 bn; 2027: USD 7.5 bn; 2028: USD 9.3 bn; 2029: USD 11.7 bn; 2030: USD 14.6 bn; 2031: USD 18.2 bn; 2032: USD 22.8 bn; 2033: USD 28.5 bn; 2034: USD 35.6 bn; 2035: USD 44.6 bn; 2036: USD 55.7 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 25.0%.20256.0 bn202618.2 bn203155.7 bn203625.0% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 6.0 bn
2027USD 7.5 bn
2028USD 9.3 bn
2029USD 11.7 bn
2030USD 14.6 bn
2031USD 18.2 bn
2032USD 22.8 bn
2033USD 28.5 bn
2034USD 35.6 bn
2035USD 44.6 bn
2036USD 55.7 bn

Sustainable Aviation Fuel market segmentation

By pathway

Exhibit 2HEFA (fats and oils) is the largest segment by pathway, with 85.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by pathway
Sustainable Aviation Fuel market share by pathway, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by pathway. HEFA (fats and oils): 85.0%; Fischer-Tropsch and gasification: 6.0%; Alcohol-to-jet: 5.0%; Power-to-liquid and others: 4.0%.HEFA (fats and oils)85.0%Fischer-Tropsch and gasification6.0%Alcohol-to-jet5.0%Power-to-liquid and others4.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
HEFA (fats and oils)85.0%63.2%USD 5.1 bn21.4%
Alcohol-to-jet5.0%10.2%USD 299 mn34.3%
Fischer-Tropsch and gasification6.0%9.8%USD 359 mn31.3%
Power-to-liquid and others4.0%16.7%USD 239 mn44.2%

By feedstock

Exhibit 3Used cooking oil and waste fats adds the most revenue by feedstock, growing from USD 3.7 bn in 2026 to USD 21.8 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by feedstock, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Sustainable Aviation Fuel market by feedstock, 2026 and 2036Revenue by feedstock in 2026 and 2036. Used cooking oil and waste fats: USD 3.7 bn in 2026, USD 21.8 bn in 2036, change +489%; Captured CO2 and hydrogen: USD 299 mn in 2026, USD 11.7 bn in 2036, change +3,806%; Agricultural and forestry residues: USD 598 mn in 2026, USD 11.4 bn in 2036, change +1,812%; Municipal waste and others: USD 478 mn in 2026, USD 7.3 bn in 2036, change +1,427%; Vegetable oils: USD 897 mn in 2026, USD 3.5 bn in 2036, change +285%.20262036 forecastChangeUsed cooking oil and waste fats+489%3.7 bn21.8 bnCaptured CO2 and hydrogen+3,806%299 mn11.7 bnAgricultural and forestry residues+1,812%598 mn11.4 bnMunicipal waste and others+1,427%478 mn7.3 bnVegetable oils+285%897 mn3.5 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Used cooking oil and waste fats62.0%39.2%USD 3.7 bn19.4%
Vegetable oils15.0%6.2%USD 897 mn14.4%
Agricultural and forestry residues10.0%20.5%USD 598 mn34.3%
Municipal waste and others8.0%13.1%USD 478 mn31.3%
Captured CO2 and hydrogen5.0%21.0%USD 299 mn44.3%

By blend level

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Low blend (up to 10 pct)30.0%14.0%USD 1.8 bn15.8%
Mid blend (10 to 30 pct)40.0%36.0%USD 2.4 bn23.7%
High blend (30 to 50 pct)26.0%38.0%USD 1.6 bn29.8%
Neat SAF4.0%12.0%USD 239 mn39.5%

By supply model

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Mandated supply62.0%58.0%USD 3.7 bn24.2%
Voluntary corporate24.0%28.0%USD 1.4 bn26.9%
Book and claim14.0%14.0%USD 837 mn25.0%

By buyer type

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Airlines66.0%62.0%USD 3.9 bn24.2%
Fuel suppliers and traders20.0%22.0%USD 1.2 bn26.2%
Corporate travel programmes8.0%10.0%USD 478 mn27.8%
Military and business aviation6.0%6.0%USD 359 mn25.0%

Top 25 countries for sustainable aviation fuel by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 85.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 97.3%.

Exhibit 4United States is the largest country market at USD 1.7 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 47.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Sustainable Aviation Fuel market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. United States: USD 1.7 bn, 28.0%; Singapore: USD 598 mn, 10.0%; Netherlands: USD 538 mn, 9.0%; United Kingdom: USD 478 mn, 8.0%; Germany: USD 478 mn, 8.0%; France: USD 419 mn, 7.0%; Japan: USD 299 mn, 5.0%; South Korea: USD 239 mn, 4.0%; Brazil: USD 179 mn, 3.0%; India: USD 179 mn, 3.0%.United States1.7 bn 28.0%Singapore598 mn 10.0%Netherlands538 mn 9.0%United Kingdom478 mn 8.0%Germany478 mn 8.0%France419 mn 7.0%Japan299 mn 5.0%South Korea239 mn 4.0%Brazil179 mn 3.0%India179 mn 3.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1United StatesUSD 1.7 bn28.0%USD 14.1 bn23.8%
2SingaporeUSD 598 mn10.0%USD 5.5 bn24.8%
3NetherlandsUSD 538 mn9.0%USD 3.6 bn20.8%
4United KingdomUSD 478 mn8.0%USD 5.1 bn26.8%
5GermanyUSD 478 mn8.0%USD 3.7 bn22.8%
6FranceUSD 419 mn7.0%USD 3.3 bn22.9%
7JapanUSD 299 mn5.0%USD 3.2 bn26.9%
8South KoreaUSD 239 mn4.0%USD 3.0 bn28.8%
9BrazilUSD 179 mn3.0%USD 3.3 bn33.8%
10IndiaUSD 179 mn3.0%USD 3.3 bn33.8%
11CanadaUSD 115 mn1.9%USD 958 mn23.6%
12SpainUSD 99 mn1.6%USD 824 mn23.6%
13ItalyUSD 85 mn1.4%USD 707 mn23.6%
14SwitzerlandUSD 73 mn1.2%USD 607 mn23.6%
15AustraliaUSD 63 mn1.1%USD 524 mn23.6%
16BelgiumUSD 54 mn0.9%USD 451 mn23.7%
17NorwayUSD 47 mn0.8%USD 384 mn23.5%
18SwedenUSD 40 mn0.7%USD 334 mn23.6%
19FinlandUSD 35 mn0.6%USD 284 mn23.4%
20DenmarkUSD 29 mn0.5%USD 245 mn23.7%
21IrelandUSD 26 mn0.4%USD 212 mn23.5%
22PolandUSD 22 mn0.4%USD 184 mn23.6%
23TurkeyUSD 19 mn0.3%USD 156 mn23.7%
24IndonesiaUSD 16 mn0.3%USD 162 mn25.9%
25MalaysiaUSD 14 mn0.2%USD 139 mn26.1%
Rest of worldUSD 162 mn2.7%USD 1.4 bn24.1%
Exhibit 5United States and Singapore account for 35% of the USD 49.7 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Sustainable Aviation Fuel market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 6.0 bn. United States: +USD 12.5 bn; Singapore: +USD 4.9 bn; United Kingdom: +USD 4.6 bn; Germany: +USD 3.3 bn; Brazil: +USD 3.1 bn; 20 other countries: +USD 20.1 bn; Rest of world: +USD 1.2 bn. Market value 2036: USD 55.7 bn.Market value 20266.0 bnUnited States+12.5 bnSingapore+4.9 bnUnited Kingdom+4.6 bnGermany+3.3 bnBrazil+3.1 bn20 other countries+20.1 bnRest of world+1.2 bnMarket value 203655.7 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • Neste
  • World Energy
  • TotalEnergies
  • Shell
  • Eni
  • Montana Renewables
  • BP
  • Phillips 66

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Diamond Green Diesel
  • LanzaJet
  • Gevo
  • SkyNRG
  • Preem
  • Moeve
  • Repsol
  • St1
  • OMV
  • ENEOS

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Velocys
  • Twelve
  • Infinium
  • Arcadia eFuels
  • HIF Global
  • Norsk e-Fuel
  • Synhelion

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the sustainable aviation fuel market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 25.0% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by pathway, by feedstock, by blend level, by supply model, by buyer type. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the sustainable aviation fuel market?

The global sustainable aviation fuel market is estimated at USD 4.6 bn in 2025 and USD 6.0 bn in 2026.

How fast will the sustainable aviation fuel market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 55.7 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 25.0% from 2026, an increase of USD 49.7 bn.

Which country is the largest market for sustainable aviation fuel?

United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 1.7 bn in 2026, 28.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 47.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, Brazil is growing fastest at 33.8% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which sustainable aviation fuel segment is largest?

In the by pathway split, HEFA (fats and oils) is the largest segment with 85.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading sustainable aviation fuel companies?

Global leaders include Neste, World Energy, TotalEnergies, Shell.

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