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Refinery Hydrogen Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global refinery hydrogen market is worth USD 63.5 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 83.8 bn by 2036, growing at a 2.8% CAGR. China is the largest country market and Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest by source segment.

USD 63.5 bnMarket size 2026
USD 83.8 bnForecast 2036
2.8%CAGR 2026-2036
ChinaLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global refinery hydrogen market is worth USD 63.5 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 83.8 bn by 2036, growing at a 2.8% CAGR. China is the largest country market and Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest by source segment.

ScopeHydrogen produced by steam methane reforming, by-product and purchased supply for hydrotreating and hydrocracking in oil refineries, valued at production and merchant sale prices.
IndustryOil and Gas
Value 2025USD 62.0 bn
Value 2026USD 63.5 bn
Value 2036USD 83.8 bn
CAGR 2026-20362.8%
Volume 202640,594 thousand tonnes
Volume 203648,437 thousand tonnes
Average price 2026USD 1,565 per tonne
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Refinery Hydrogen market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global refinery hydrogen market is forecast to grow from USD 63.5 bn in 2026 to USD 83.8 bn by 2036, a rise of 32%Global market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 2.8%
Refinery Hydrogen market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 62.0 bn; 2026: USD 63.5 bn; 2027: USD 65.3 bn; 2028: USD 67.2 bn; 2029: USD 69.0 bn; 2030: USD 71.0 bn; 2031: USD 73.0 bn; 2032: USD 75.0 bn; 2033: USD 77.1 bn; 2034: USD 79.3 bn; 2035: USD 81.5 bn; 2036: USD 83.8 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 2.8%.202563.5 bn202673.0 bn203183.8 bn20362.8% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 63.5 bn
2027USD 65.3 bn
2028USD 67.2 bn
2029USD 69.0 bn
2030USD 71.0 bn
2031USD 73.0 bn
2032USD 75.0 bn
2033USD 77.1 bn
2034USD 79.3 bn
2035USD 81.5 bn
2036USD 83.8 bn

Refinery Hydrogen market segmentation

By source

Exhibit 2Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest segment by source, with 52.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by source
Refinery Hydrogen market share by source, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by source. Steam methane reforming (on site): 52.0%; Catalytic reformer by-product: 22.0%; Merchant supply: 18.0%; Low-carbon hydrogen: 8.0%.Steam methane reforming (on site)52.0%Catalytic reformer by-product22.0%Merchant supply18.0%Low-carbon hydrogen8.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Steam methane reforming (on site)52.0%40.9%USD 33.0 bn0.4%
Catalytic reformer by-product22.0%15.7%USD 14.0 bn-0.6%
Merchant supply18.0%16.4%USD 11.4 bn1.8%
Low-carbon hydrogen8.0%27.0%USD 5.1 bn16.1%

By process

Exhibit 3Hydrotreating adds the most revenue by process, growing from USD 39.4 bn in 2026 to USD 51.5 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by process, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Refinery Hydrogen market by process, 2026 and 2036Revenue by process in 2026 and 2036. Hydrotreating: USD 39.4 bn in 2026, USD 51.5 bn in 2036, change +31%; Hydrocracking: USD 17.8 bn in 2026, USD 24.4 bn in 2036, change +37%; Other refining uses: USD 6.4 bn in 2026, USD 7.9 bn in 2036, change +24%.20262036 forecastChangeHydrotreating+31%39.4 bn51.5 bnHydrocracking+37%17.8 bn24.4 bnOther refining uses+24%6.4 bn7.9 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Hydrotreating62.0%61.4%USD 39.4 bn2.7%
Hydrocracking28.0%29.1%USD 17.8 bn3.2%
Other refining uses10.0%9.4%USD 6.4 bn2.2%

By supply contract

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
On-site owned production44.0%38.9%USD 28.0 bn1.5%
Long-term pipeline supply34.0%34.9%USD 21.6 bn3.1%
Short-term merchant delivery22.0%26.2%USD 14.0 bn4.6%

By refinery size

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Below 100 thousand barrels per day22.0%18.4%USD 14.0 bn1.0%
100 to 250 thousand barrels per day42.0%40.9%USD 26.7 bn2.5%
Above 250 thousand barrels per day36.0%40.7%USD 22.9 bn4.1%

By hydrogen purity

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Standard (up to 99 percent)46.0%41.2%USD 29.2 bn1.7%
High purity (99 to 99.9 percent)38.0%39.5%USD 24.1 bn3.2%
Ultra-high purity (above 99.9 percent)16.0%19.3%USD 10.2 bn4.8%

Top 25 countries for refinery hydrogen by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 78.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 95.6%.

Exhibit 4China is the largest country market at USD 14.0 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 49.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Refinery Hydrogen market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. China: USD 14.0 bn, 22.0%; United States: USD 12.1 bn, 19.0%; India: USD 5.1 bn, 8.0%; Russia: USD 3.8 bn, 6.0%; Saudi Arabia: USD 3.2 bn, 5.0%; Japan: USD 2.5 bn, 4.0%; South Korea: USD 2.5 bn, 4.0%; Germany: USD 2.2 bn, 3.5%; United Arab Emirates: USD 2.2 bn, 3.5%; Singapore: USD 1.9 bn, 3.0%.China14.0 bn 22.0%United States12.1 bn 19.0%India5.1 bn 8.0%Russia3.8 bn 6.0%Saudi Arabia3.2 bn 5.0%Japan2.5 bn 4.0%South Korea2.5 bn 4.0%Germany2.2 bn 3.5%United Arab Emirates2.2 bn 3.5%Singapore1.9 bn 3.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1ChinaUSD 14.0 bn22.0%USD 19.9 bn3.6%
2United StatesUSD 12.1 bn19.0%USD 14.2 bn1.6%
3IndiaUSD 5.1 bn8.0%USD 8.0 bn4.6%
4RussiaUSD 3.8 bn6.0%USD 4.5 bn1.7%
5Saudi ArabiaUSD 3.2 bn5.0%USD 4.4 bn3.2%
6JapanUSD 2.5 bn4.0%USD 2.8 bn1.1%
7South KoreaUSD 2.5 bn4.0%USD 3.1 bn2.0%
8GermanyUSD 2.2 bn3.5%USD 2.6 bn1.6%
9United Arab EmiratesUSD 2.2 bn3.5%USD 3.2 bn3.6%
10SingaporeUSD 1.9 bn3.0%USD 2.3 bn2.1%
11ItalyUSD 1.8 bn2.9%USD 2.5 bn3.1%
12FranceUSD 1.3 bn2.0%USD 1.7 bn2.9%
13BrazilUSD 1.0 bn1.6%USD 1.4 bn2.9%
14CanadaUSD 877 mn1.4%USD 1.2 bn3.0%
15NetherlandsUSD 775 mn1.2%USD 1.0 bn3.0%
16SpainUSD 705 mn1.1%USD 938 mn2.9%
17TaiwanUSD 648 mn1.0%USD 863 mn2.9%
18ThailandUSD 604 mn0.9%USD 804 mn2.9%
19IndonesiaUSD 566 mn0.9%USD 754 mn2.9%
20TurkeyUSD 534 mn0.8%USD 712 mn2.9%
21KuwaitUSD 502 mn0.8%USD 670 mn2.9%
22MexicoUSD 483 mn0.8%USD 637 mn2.8%
23United KingdomUSD 458 mn0.7%USD 611 mn2.9%
24BelgiumUSD 445 mn0.7%USD 586 mn2.8%
25AustraliaUSD 426 mn0.7%USD 570 mn3.0%
Rest of worldUSD 2.8 bn4.4%USD 3.8 bn3.1%
Exhibit 5China and India account for 44% of the USD 20.2 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Refinery Hydrogen market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 63.5 bn. China: +USD 6.0 bn; India: +USD 2.9 bn; United States: +USD 2.1 bn; Saudi Arabia: +USD 1.2 bn; United Arab Emirates: +USD 959 mn; 20 other countries: +USD 6.2 bn; Rest of world: +USD 1.0 bn. Market value 2036: USD 83.8 bn.Market value 202663.5 bnChina+6.0 bnIndia+2.9 bnUnited States+2.1 bnSaudi Arabia+1.2 bnUnited Arab Emirates+959 mn20 other countries+6.2 bnRest of world+1.0 bnMarket value 203683.8 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • Air Liquide
  • Linde
  • Air Products
  • Messer
  • Nippon Sanso Holdings

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Technip Energies
  • Topsoe
  • Yingde Gases Group

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Plug Power
  • Nel ASA
  • ITM Power

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the refinery hydrogen market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 2.8% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by source, by process, by supply contract, by refinery size, by hydrogen purity. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the refinery hydrogen market?

The global refinery hydrogen market is estimated at USD 62.0 bn in 2025 and USD 63.5 bn in 2026.

How fast will the refinery hydrogen market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 83.8 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 2.8% from 2026, an increase of USD 20.2 bn.

Which country is the largest market for refinery hydrogen?

China is the largest market by revenue at USD 14.0 bn in 2026, 22.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 49.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 4.6% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which refinery hydrogen segment is largest?

In the by source split, Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest segment with 52.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading refinery hydrogen companies?

Global leaders include Air Liquide, Linde, Air Products, Messer.

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