Market overview
The global refinery hydrogen market is worth USD 63.5 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 83.8 bn by 2036, growing at a 2.8% CAGR. China is the largest country market and Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest by source segment.
| Scope | Hydrogen produced by steam methane reforming, by-product and purchased supply for hydrotreating and hydrocracking in oil refineries, valued at production and merchant sale prices. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Oil and Gas |
| Value 2025 | USD 62.0 bn |
| Value 2026 | USD 63.5 bn |
| Value 2036 | USD 83.8 bn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 2.8% |
| Volume 2026 | 40,594 thousand tonnes |
| Volume 2036 | 48,437 thousand tonnes |
| Average price 2026 | USD 1,565 per tonne |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Refinery Hydrogen market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 63.5 bn |
| 2027 | USD 65.3 bn |
| 2028 | USD 67.2 bn |
| 2029 | USD 69.0 bn |
| 2030 | USD 71.0 bn |
| 2031 | USD 73.0 bn |
| 2032 | USD 75.0 bn |
| 2033 | USD 77.1 bn |
| 2034 | USD 79.3 bn |
| 2035 | USD 81.5 bn |
| 2036 | USD 83.8 bn |
Refinery Hydrogen market segmentation
By source
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steam methane reforming (on site) | 52.0% | 40.9% | USD 33.0 bn | 0.4% |
| Catalytic reformer by-product | 22.0% | 15.7% | USD 14.0 bn | -0.6% |
| Merchant supply | 18.0% | 16.4% | USD 11.4 bn | 1.8% |
| Low-carbon hydrogen | 8.0% | 27.0% | USD 5.1 bn | 16.1% |
By process
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hydrotreating | 62.0% | 61.4% | USD 39.4 bn | 2.7% |
| Hydrocracking | 28.0% | 29.1% | USD 17.8 bn | 3.2% |
| Other refining uses | 10.0% | 9.4% | USD 6.4 bn | 2.2% |
By supply contract
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| On-site owned production | 44.0% | 38.9% | USD 28.0 bn | 1.5% |
| Long-term pipeline supply | 34.0% | 34.9% | USD 21.6 bn | 3.1% |
| Short-term merchant delivery | 22.0% | 26.2% | USD 14.0 bn | 4.6% |
By refinery size
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 100 thousand barrels per day | 22.0% | 18.4% | USD 14.0 bn | 1.0% |
| 100 to 250 thousand barrels per day | 42.0% | 40.9% | USD 26.7 bn | 2.5% |
| Above 250 thousand barrels per day | 36.0% | 40.7% | USD 22.9 bn | 4.1% |
By hydrogen purity
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (up to 99 percent) | 46.0% | 41.2% | USD 29.2 bn | 1.7% |
| High purity (99 to 99.9 percent) | 38.0% | 39.5% | USD 24.1 bn | 3.2% |
| Ultra-high purity (above 99.9 percent) | 16.0% | 19.3% | USD 10.2 bn | 4.8% |
Top 25 countries for refinery hydrogen by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 78.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 95.6%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China | USD 14.0 bn | 22.0% | USD 19.9 bn | 3.6% |
| 2 | United States | USD 12.1 bn | 19.0% | USD 14.2 bn | 1.6% |
| 3 | India | USD 5.1 bn | 8.0% | USD 8.0 bn | 4.6% |
| 4 | Russia | USD 3.8 bn | 6.0% | USD 4.5 bn | 1.7% |
| 5 | Saudi Arabia | USD 3.2 bn | 5.0% | USD 4.4 bn | 3.2% |
| 6 | Japan | USD 2.5 bn | 4.0% | USD 2.8 bn | 1.1% |
| 7 | South Korea | USD 2.5 bn | 4.0% | USD 3.1 bn | 2.0% |
| 8 | Germany | USD 2.2 bn | 3.5% | USD 2.6 bn | 1.6% |
| 9 | United Arab Emirates | USD 2.2 bn | 3.5% | USD 3.2 bn | 3.6% |
| 10 | Singapore | USD 1.9 bn | 3.0% | USD 2.3 bn | 2.1% |
| 11 | Italy | USD 1.8 bn | 2.9% | USD 2.5 bn | 3.1% |
| 12 | France | USD 1.3 bn | 2.0% | USD 1.7 bn | 2.9% |
| 13 | Brazil | USD 1.0 bn | 1.6% | USD 1.4 bn | 2.9% |
| 14 | Canada | USD 877 mn | 1.4% | USD 1.2 bn | 3.0% |
| 15 | Netherlands | USD 775 mn | 1.2% | USD 1.0 bn | 3.0% |
| 16 | Spain | USD 705 mn | 1.1% | USD 938 mn | 2.9% |
| 17 | Taiwan | USD 648 mn | 1.0% | USD 863 mn | 2.9% |
| 18 | Thailand | USD 604 mn | 0.9% | USD 804 mn | 2.9% |
| 19 | Indonesia | USD 566 mn | 0.9% | USD 754 mn | 2.9% |
| 20 | Turkey | USD 534 mn | 0.8% | USD 712 mn | 2.9% |
| 21 | Kuwait | USD 502 mn | 0.8% | USD 670 mn | 2.9% |
| 22 | Mexico | USD 483 mn | 0.8% | USD 637 mn | 2.8% |
| 23 | United Kingdom | USD 458 mn | 0.7% | USD 611 mn | 2.9% |
| 24 | Belgium | USD 445 mn | 0.7% | USD 586 mn | 2.8% |
| 25 | Australia | USD 426 mn | 0.7% | USD 570 mn | 3.0% |
| Rest of world | USD 2.8 bn | 4.4% | USD 3.8 bn | 3.1% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- Air Liquide
- Linde
- Air Products
- Messer
- Nippon Sanso Holdings
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Technip Energies
- Topsoe
- Yingde Gases Group
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Plug Power
- Nel ASA
- ITM Power
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the refinery hydrogen market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 2.8% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by source, by process, by supply contract, by refinery size, by hydrogen purity. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the refinery hydrogen market?
The global refinery hydrogen market is estimated at USD 62.0 bn in 2025 and USD 63.5 bn in 2026.
How fast will the refinery hydrogen market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 83.8 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 2.8% from 2026, an increase of USD 20.2 bn.
Which country is the largest market for refinery hydrogen?
China is the largest market by revenue at USD 14.0 bn in 2026, 22.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 49.0%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 4.6% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which refinery hydrogen segment is largest?
In the by source split, Steam methane reforming (on site) is the largest segment with 52.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading refinery hydrogen companies?
Global leaders include Air Liquide, Linde, Air Products, Messer.
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