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Precision Transplant Medicine Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global precision transplant medicine market is worth USD 770 mn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.9 bn by 2036, growing at a 9.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest by test segment.

USD 770 mnMarket size 2026
USD 1.9 bnForecast 2036
9.5%CAGR 2026-2036
United StatesLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global precision transplant medicine market is worth USD 770 mn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.9 bn by 2036, growing at a 9.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest by test segment.

ScopeMolecular and immune tests that match donors and recipients and monitor rejection after transplant, including donor-derived cell-free DNA, gene-expression and HLA typing tests.
IndustryHealthcare
Value 2025USD 700 mn
Value 2026USD 770 mn
Value 2036USD 1.9 bn
CAGR 2026-20369.5%
Volume 20262.08 million tests
Volume 20364.90 million tests
Average price 2026USD 370 per test
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Precision Transplant Medicine market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global precision transplant medicine market is forecast to grow from USD 770 mn in 2026 to USD 1.9 bn by 2036, more than doublingGlobal market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 9.5%
Precision Transplant Medicine market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 700 mn; 2026: USD 770 mn; 2027: USD 843 mn; 2028: USD 923 mn; 2029: USD 1.0 bn; 2030: USD 1.1 bn; 2031: USD 1.2 bn; 2032: USD 1.3 bn; 2033: USD 1.5 bn; 2034: USD 1.6 bn; 2035: USD 1.7 bn; 2036: USD 1.9 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 9.5%.2025770 mn20261.2 bn20311.9 bn20369.5% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 770 mn
2027USD 843 mn
2028USD 923 mn
2029USD 1.0 bn
2030USD 1.1 bn
2031USD 1.2 bn
2032USD 1.3 bn
2033USD 1.5 bn
2034USD 1.6 bn
2035USD 1.7 bn
2036USD 1.9 bn

Precision Transplant Medicine market segmentation

By test

Exhibit 2Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest segment by test, with 38.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by test
Precision Transplant Medicine market share by test, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by test. Donor-derived cell-free DNA: 38.0%; HLA typing and antibody tests: 34.0%; Gene expression profiling: 14.0%; Infection and viral load monitoring: 14.0%.Donor-derived cell-free DNA38.0%HLA typing and antibody tests34.0%Gene expression profiling14.0%Infection and viral load monitoring14.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Donor-derived cell-free DNA38.0%40.3%USD 293 mn10.1%
HLA typing and antibody tests34.0%30.0%USD 262 mn8.1%
Gene expression profiling14.0%15.5%USD 108 mn10.6%
Infection and viral load monitoring14.0%14.2%USD 108 mn9.6%

By organ

Exhibit 3Kidney adds the most revenue by organ, growing from USD 400 mn in 2026 to USD 1.0 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by organ, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Precision Transplant Medicine market by organ, 2026 and 2036Revenue by organ in 2026 and 2036. Kidney: USD 400 mn in 2026, USD 1.0 bn in 2036, change +153%; Heart: USD 139 mn in 2026, USD 335 mn in 2036, change +142%; Lung and other: USD 123 mn in 2026, USD 298 mn in 2036, change +142%; Liver: USD 108 mn in 2026, USD 261 mn in 2036, change +142%.20262036 forecastChangeKidney+153%400 mn1.0 bnHeart+142%139 mn335 mnLung and other+142%123 mn298 mnLiver+142%108 mn261 mn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Kidney52.0%53.1%USD 400 mn9.7%
Heart18.0%17.6%USD 139 mn9.2%
Liver14.0%13.7%USD 108 mn9.2%
Lung and other16.0%15.6%USD 123 mn9.2%

By technology

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Real-time PCR34.0%26.0%USD 262 mn6.6%
Next-generation sequencing30.0%38.0%USD 231 mn12.1%
Immunoassay and flow cytometry20.0%18.0%USD 154 mn8.3%
Other assays16.0%18.0%USD 123 mn10.8%

By timing

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Pre-transplant matching36.0%32.0%USD 277 mn8.2%
Post-transplant surveillance50.0%54.0%USD 385 mn10.3%
Rejection investigation14.0%14.0%USD 108 mn9.5%

By user

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Transplant centres44.0%40.0%USD 339 mn8.5%
Reference laboratories40.0%42.0%USD 308 mn10.0%
Pharma and research16.0%18.0%USD 123 mn10.8%

Top 25 countries for precision transplant medicine by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 96.5% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 98.9%.

Exhibit 4United States is the largest country market at USD 477 mn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 73.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Precision Transplant Medicine market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. United States: USD 477 mn, 62.0%; Germany: USD 46 mn, 6.0%; Japan: USD 38 mn, 5.0%; United Kingdom: USD 38 mn, 5.0%; France: USD 31 mn, 4.0%; China: USD 31 mn, 4.0%; Italy: USD 23 mn, 3.0%; Spain: USD 23 mn, 3.0%; Canada: USD 19 mn, 2.5%; Australia: USD 15 mn, 2.0%.United States477 mn 62.0%Germany46 mn 6.0%Japan38 mn 5.0%United Kingdom38 mn 5.0%France31 mn 4.0%China31 mn 4.0%Italy23 mn 3.0%Spain23 mn 3.0%Canada19 mn 2.5%Australia15 mn 2.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1United StatesUSD 477 mn62.0%USD 1.2 bn9.8%
2GermanyUSD 46 mn6.0%USD 103 mn8.3%
3JapanUSD 38 mn5.0%USD 82 mn7.9%
4United KingdomUSD 38 mn5.0%USD 86 mn8.3%
5FranceUSD 31 mn4.0%USD 69 mn8.3%
6ChinaUSD 31 mn4.0%USD 113 mn13.8%
7ItalyUSD 23 mn3.0%USD 52 mn8.3%
8SpainUSD 23 mn3.0%USD 52 mn8.3%
9CanadaUSD 19 mn2.5%USD 44 mn8.6%
10AustraliaUSD 15 mn2.0%USD 36 mn8.9%
11NetherlandsUSD 4.2 mn0.5%USD 9.2 mn8.2%
12SwitzerlandUSD 2.5 mn0.3%USD 5.5 mn8.4%
13AustriaUSD 1.9 mn0.2%USD 4.0 mn8.1%
14BelgiumUSD 1.5 mn0.2%USD 3.2 mn8.3%
15SwedenUSD 1.2 mn0.2%USD 2.7 mn8.1%
16DenmarkUSD 1.1 mn0.1%USD 2.5 mn8.7%
17IsraelUSD 1.0 mn0.1%USD 3.0 mn11.8%
18South KoreaUSD 0.85 mn0.1%USD 1.9 mn8.5%
19IndiaUSD 0.77 mn0.1%USD 2.5 mn12.4%
20BrazilUSD 0.77 mn0.1%USD 2.3 mn11.5%
21TurkeyUSD 0.69 mn0.09%USD 2.1 mn11.7%
22MexicoUSD 0.62 mn0.08%USD 2.1 mn13.0%
23PolandUSD 0.62 mn0.08%USD 1.9 mn12.0%
24SingaporeUSD 0.62 mn0.08%USD 1.7 mn10.8%
25ThailandUSD 0.54 mn0.07%USD 1.7 mn12.3%
Rest of worldUSD 8.2 mn1.1%USD 15 mn6.0%
Exhibit 5United States and China account for 72% of the USD 1.1 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Precision Transplant Medicine market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 770 mn. United States: +USD 734 mn; China: +USD 82 mn; Germany: +USD 57 mn; United Kingdom: +USD 47 mn; Japan: +USD 44 mn; 20 other countries: +USD 168 mn; Rest of world: +USD 6.4 mn. Market value 2036: USD 1.9 bn.Market value 2026770 mnUnited States+734 mnChina+82 mnGermany+57 mnUnited Kingdom+47 mnJapan+44 mn20 other countries+168 mnRest of world+6.4 mnMarket value 20361.9 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • CareDx
  • Natera
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific
  • Immucor

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Eurofins Viracor
  • Oncocyte
  • Illumina
  • GenDx
  • Pacific Biosciences

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Bio-Rad Laboratories
  • Omixon
  • Verici Dx
  • Scisco Genetics

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the precision transplant medicine market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 9.5% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by test, by organ, by technology, by timing, by user. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the precision transplant medicine market?

The global precision transplant medicine market is estimated at USD 700 mn in 2025 and USD 770 mn in 2026.

How fast will the precision transplant medicine market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 1.9 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 9.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 1.1 bn.

Which country is the largest market for precision transplant medicine?

United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 477 mn in 2026, 62.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 73.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, China is growing fastest at 13.8% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which precision transplant medicine segment is largest?

In the by test split, Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest segment with 38.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading precision transplant medicine companies?

Global leaders include CareDx, Natera, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Immucor.

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