Market overview
The global precision transplant medicine market is worth USD 770 mn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.9 bn by 2036, growing at a 9.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest by test segment.
| Scope | Molecular and immune tests that match donors and recipients and monitor rejection after transplant, including donor-derived cell-free DNA, gene-expression and HLA typing tests. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Healthcare |
| Value 2025 | USD 700 mn |
| Value 2026 | USD 770 mn |
| Value 2036 | USD 1.9 bn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 9.5% |
| Volume 2026 | 2.08 million tests |
| Volume 2036 | 4.90 million tests |
| Average price 2026 | USD 370 per test |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Precision Transplant Medicine market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 770 mn |
| 2027 | USD 843 mn |
| 2028 | USD 923 mn |
| 2029 | USD 1.0 bn |
| 2030 | USD 1.1 bn |
| 2031 | USD 1.2 bn |
| 2032 | USD 1.3 bn |
| 2033 | USD 1.5 bn |
| 2034 | USD 1.6 bn |
| 2035 | USD 1.7 bn |
| 2036 | USD 1.9 bn |
Precision Transplant Medicine market segmentation
By test
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donor-derived cell-free DNA | 38.0% | 40.3% | USD 293 mn | 10.1% |
| HLA typing and antibody tests | 34.0% | 30.0% | USD 262 mn | 8.1% |
| Gene expression profiling | 14.0% | 15.5% | USD 108 mn | 10.6% |
| Infection and viral load monitoring | 14.0% | 14.2% | USD 108 mn | 9.6% |
By organ
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidney | 52.0% | 53.1% | USD 400 mn | 9.7% |
| Heart | 18.0% | 17.6% | USD 139 mn | 9.2% |
| Liver | 14.0% | 13.7% | USD 108 mn | 9.2% |
| Lung and other | 16.0% | 15.6% | USD 123 mn | 9.2% |
By technology
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real-time PCR | 34.0% | 26.0% | USD 262 mn | 6.6% |
| Next-generation sequencing | 30.0% | 38.0% | USD 231 mn | 12.1% |
| Immunoassay and flow cytometry | 20.0% | 18.0% | USD 154 mn | 8.3% |
| Other assays | 16.0% | 18.0% | USD 123 mn | 10.8% |
By timing
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-transplant matching | 36.0% | 32.0% | USD 277 mn | 8.2% |
| Post-transplant surveillance | 50.0% | 54.0% | USD 385 mn | 10.3% |
| Rejection investigation | 14.0% | 14.0% | USD 108 mn | 9.5% |
By user
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transplant centres | 44.0% | 40.0% | USD 339 mn | 8.5% |
| Reference laboratories | 40.0% | 42.0% | USD 308 mn | 10.0% |
| Pharma and research | 16.0% | 18.0% | USD 123 mn | 10.8% |
Top 25 countries for precision transplant medicine by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 96.5% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 98.9%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | USD 477 mn | 62.0% | USD 1.2 bn | 9.8% |
| 2 | Germany | USD 46 mn | 6.0% | USD 103 mn | 8.3% |
| 3 | Japan | USD 38 mn | 5.0% | USD 82 mn | 7.9% |
| 4 | United Kingdom | USD 38 mn | 5.0% | USD 86 mn | 8.3% |
| 5 | France | USD 31 mn | 4.0% | USD 69 mn | 8.3% |
| 6 | China | USD 31 mn | 4.0% | USD 113 mn | 13.8% |
| 7 | Italy | USD 23 mn | 3.0% | USD 52 mn | 8.3% |
| 8 | Spain | USD 23 mn | 3.0% | USD 52 mn | 8.3% |
| 9 | Canada | USD 19 mn | 2.5% | USD 44 mn | 8.6% |
| 10 | Australia | USD 15 mn | 2.0% | USD 36 mn | 8.9% |
| 11 | Netherlands | USD 4.2 mn | 0.5% | USD 9.2 mn | 8.2% |
| 12 | Switzerland | USD 2.5 mn | 0.3% | USD 5.5 mn | 8.4% |
| 13 | Austria | USD 1.9 mn | 0.2% | USD 4.0 mn | 8.1% |
| 14 | Belgium | USD 1.5 mn | 0.2% | USD 3.2 mn | 8.3% |
| 15 | Sweden | USD 1.2 mn | 0.2% | USD 2.7 mn | 8.1% |
| 16 | Denmark | USD 1.1 mn | 0.1% | USD 2.5 mn | 8.7% |
| 17 | Israel | USD 1.0 mn | 0.1% | USD 3.0 mn | 11.8% |
| 18 | South Korea | USD 0.85 mn | 0.1% | USD 1.9 mn | 8.5% |
| 19 | India | USD 0.77 mn | 0.1% | USD 2.5 mn | 12.4% |
| 20 | Brazil | USD 0.77 mn | 0.1% | USD 2.3 mn | 11.5% |
| 21 | Turkey | USD 0.69 mn | 0.09% | USD 2.1 mn | 11.7% |
| 22 | Mexico | USD 0.62 mn | 0.08% | USD 2.1 mn | 13.0% |
| 23 | Poland | USD 0.62 mn | 0.08% | USD 1.9 mn | 12.0% |
| 24 | Singapore | USD 0.62 mn | 0.08% | USD 1.7 mn | 10.8% |
| 25 | Thailand | USD 0.54 mn | 0.07% | USD 1.7 mn | 12.3% |
| Rest of world | USD 8.2 mn | 1.1% | USD 15 mn | 6.0% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- CareDx
- Natera
- Thermo Fisher Scientific
- Immucor
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Eurofins Viracor
- Oncocyte
- Illumina
- GenDx
- Pacific Biosciences
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Bio-Rad Laboratories
- Omixon
- Verici Dx
- Scisco Genetics
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the precision transplant medicine market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 9.5% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by test, by organ, by technology, by timing, by user. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the precision transplant medicine market?
The global precision transplant medicine market is estimated at USD 700 mn in 2025 and USD 770 mn in 2026.
How fast will the precision transplant medicine market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 1.9 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 9.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 1.1 bn.
Which country is the largest market for precision transplant medicine?
United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 477 mn in 2026, 62.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 73.0%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, China is growing fastest at 13.8% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which precision transplant medicine segment is largest?
In the by test split, Donor-derived cell-free DNA is the largest segment with 38.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading precision transplant medicine companies?
Global leaders include CareDx, Natera, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Immucor.
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