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Molybdenum Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global molybdenum market is worth USD 12.9 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 19.2 bn by 2036, growing at a 4.0% CAGR. China is the largest country market and Technical molybdenum oxide is the largest by product segment.

USD 12.9 bnMarket size 2026
USD 19.2 bnForecast 2036
4.0%CAGR 2026-2036
ChinaLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global molybdenum market is worth USD 12.9 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 19.2 bn by 2036, growing at a 4.0% CAGR. China is the largest country market and Technical molybdenum oxide is the largest by product segment.

ScopeMolybdenum produced and sold worldwide as molybdenum content in oxides, ferromolybdenum, chemicals and metal products, valued at market price.
IndustryChemicals and Materials
Value 2025USD 12.5 bn
Value 2026USD 12.9 bn
Value 2036USD 19.2 bn
CAGR 2026-20364.0%
Volume 2026305,911 tonnes
Volume 2036390,183 tonnes
Average price 2026USD 42,290 per tonne
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Molybdenum market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global molybdenum market is forecast to grow from USD 12.9 bn in 2026 to USD 19.2 bn by 2036, a rise of 48%Global market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 4.0%
Molybdenum market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 12.5 bn; 2026: USD 12.9 bn; 2027: USD 13.5 bn; 2028: USD 14.0 bn; 2029: USD 14.6 bn; 2030: USD 15.1 bn; 2031: USD 15.7 bn; 2032: USD 16.4 bn; 2033: USD 17.0 bn; 2034: USD 17.7 bn; 2035: USD 18.4 bn; 2036: USD 19.2 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 4.0%.202512.9 bn202615.7 bn203119.2 bn20364.0% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 12.9 bn
2027USD 13.5 bn
2028USD 14.0 bn
2029USD 14.6 bn
2030USD 15.1 bn
2031USD 15.7 bn
2032USD 16.4 bn
2033USD 17.0 bn
2034USD 17.7 bn
2035USD 18.4 bn
2036USD 19.2 bn

Molybdenum market segmentation

By product

Exhibit 2Technical molybdenum oxide is the largest segment by product, with 55.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by product
Molybdenum market share by product, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by product. Technical molybdenum oxide: 55.0%; Ferromolybdenum: 28.0%; Metal and mill products: 9.0%; Chemicals and catalysts: 8.0%.Technical molybdenum oxide55.0%Ferromolybdenum28.0%Metal and mill products9.0%Chemicals and catalysts8.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Technical molybdenum oxide55.0%52.6%USD 7.1 bn3.5%
Ferromolybdenum28.0%28.1%USD 3.6 bn4.0%
Metal and mill products9.0%10.9%USD 1.2 bn6.0%
Chemicals and catalysts8.0%8.4%USD 1.0 bn4.5%

By end use

Exhibit 3Structural and alloy steel adds the most revenue by end use, growing from USD 4.5 bn in 2026 to USD 6.6 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by end use, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Molybdenum market by end use, 2026 and 2036Revenue by end use in 2026 and 2036. Structural and alloy steel: USD 4.5 bn in 2026, USD 6.6 bn in 2036, change +45%; Stainless steel: USD 3.2 bn in 2026, USD 4.8 bn in 2036, change +48%; Chemicals and catalysts: USD 1.9 bn in 2026, USD 3.0 bn in 2036, change +55%; Superalloys and cast iron: USD 1.3 bn in 2026, USD 2.1 bn in 2036, change +63%; Tool and high-speed steel: USD 1.3 bn in 2026, USD 1.7 bn in 2036, change +35%; Other: USD 647 mn in 2026, USD 913 mn in 2036, change +41%.20262036 forecastChangeStructural and alloy steel+45%4.5 bn6.6 bnStainless steel+48%3.2 bn4.8 bnChemicals and catalysts+55%1.9 bn3.0 bnSuperalloys and cast iron+63%1.3 bn2.1 bnTool and high-speed steel+35%1.3 bn1.7 bnOther+41%647 mn913 mn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Structural and alloy steel35.0%34.4%USD 4.5 bn3.8%
Stainless steel25.0%25.0%USD 3.2 bn4.0%
Tool and high-speed steel10.0%9.1%USD 1.3 bn3.0%
Chemicals and catalysts15.0%15.7%USD 1.9 bn4.5%
Superalloys and cast iron10.0%11.0%USD 1.3 bn5.0%
Other5.0%4.8%USD 647 mn3.5%

By source

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Primary mine output46.0%42.0%USD 6.0 bn3.1%
Copper by-product44.0%44.0%USD 5.7 bn4.0%
Recycled10.0%14.0%USD 1.3 bn7.6%

By downstream sector

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Oil and gas26.0%26.0%USD 3.4 bn4.0%
Automotive and machinery28.0%26.0%USD 3.6 bn3.2%
Power and construction26.0%28.0%USD 3.4 bn4.8%
Aerospace and electronics20.0%20.0%USD 2.6 bn4.0%

By supply channel

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Long-term contracts50.0%48.0%USD 6.5 bn3.6%
Spot and traders32.0%34.0%USD 4.1 bn4.6%
Captive18.0%18.0%USD 2.3 bn4.0%

Top 25 countries for molybdenum by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 84.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 96.2%.

Exhibit 4China is the largest country market at USD 6.0 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 60.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Molybdenum market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. China: USD 6.0 bn, 46.0%; United States: USD 1.0 bn, 8.0%; Japan: USD 776 mn, 6.0%; Germany: USD 647 mn, 5.0%; South Korea: USD 647 mn, 5.0%; India: USD 518 mn, 4.0%; Italy: USD 388 mn, 3.0%; Russia: USD 388 mn, 3.0%; Brazil: USD 259 mn, 2.0%; United Kingdom: USD 259 mn, 2.0%.China6.0 bn 46.0%United States1.0 bn 8.0%Japan776 mn 6.0%Germany647 mn 5.0%South Korea647 mn 5.0%India518 mn 4.0%Italy388 mn 3.0%Russia388 mn 3.0%Brazil259 mn 2.0%United Kingdom259 mn 2.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1ChinaUSD 6.0 bn46.0%USD 9.0 bn4.3%
2United StatesUSD 1.0 bn8.0%USD 1.4 bn3.3%
3JapanUSD 776 mn6.0%USD 1.0 bn2.7%
4GermanyUSD 647 mn5.0%USD 843 mn2.7%
5South KoreaUSD 647 mn5.0%USD 938 mn3.8%
6IndiaUSD 518 mn4.0%USD 958 mn6.3%
7ItalyUSD 388 mn3.0%USD 517 mn2.9%
8RussiaUSD 388 mn3.0%USD 536 mn3.3%
9BrazilUSD 259 mn2.0%USD 402 mn4.5%
10United KingdomUSD 259 mn2.0%USD 345 mn2.9%
11FranceUSD 167 mn1.3%USD 253 mn4.2%
12CanadaUSD 158 mn1.2%USD 239 mn4.2%
13ChileUSD 149 mn1.1%USD 226 mn4.3%
14TaiwanUSD 141 mn1.1%USD 213 mn4.2%
15MexicoUSD 132 mn1.0%USD 199 mn4.2%
16SpainUSD 114 mn0.9%USD 172 mn4.2%
17SwedenUSD 106 mn0.8%USD 159 mn4.1%
18AustriaUSD 97 mn0.8%USD 146 mn4.1%
19TurkeyUSD 88 mn0.7%USD 132 mn4.2%
20Saudi ArabiaUSD 88 mn0.7%USD 153 mn5.7%
21NetherlandsUSD 79 mn0.6%USD 121 mn4.3%
22AustraliaUSD 70 mn0.5%USD 107 mn4.4%
23ThailandUSD 70 mn0.5%USD 123 mn5.8%
24PolandUSD 62 mn0.5%USD 94 mn4.2%
25BelgiumUSD 53 mn0.4%USD 80 mn4.2%
Rest of worldUSD 497 mn3.8%USD 705 mn3.6%
Exhibit 5China and India account for 57% of the USD 6.2 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Molybdenum market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 12.9 bn. China: +USD 3.1 bn; India: +USD 440 mn; United States: +USD 401 mn; South Korea: +USD 292 mn; Japan: +USD 239 mn; 20 other countries: +USD 1.5 bn; Rest of world: +USD 208 mn. Market value 2036: USD 19.2 bn.Market value 202612.9 bnChina+3.1 bnIndia+440 mnUnited States+401 mnSouth Korea+292 mnJapan+239 mn20 other countries+1.5 bnRest of world+208 mnMarket value 203619.2 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • Freeport-McMoRan
  • Codelco
  • Southern Copper
  • CMOC
  • Molymet

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Jinduicheng Molybdenum
  • Antofagasta
  • Sumitomo Metal Mining
  • Teck Resources
  • KGHM
  • Anglo American
  • Taseko Mines

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Plansee Group
  • Treibacher Industrie
  • H.C. Starck Solutions
  • Elmet Technologies
  • Global Tungsten & Powders

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the molybdenum market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 4.0% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by product, by end use, by source, by downstream sector, by supply channel. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the molybdenum market?

The global molybdenum market is estimated at USD 12.5 bn in 2025 and USD 12.9 bn in 2026.

How fast will the molybdenum market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 19.2 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 4.0% from 2026, an increase of USD 6.2 bn.

Which country is the largest market for molybdenum?

China is the largest market by revenue at USD 6.0 bn in 2026, 46.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 60.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 6.3% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which molybdenum segment is largest?

In the by product split, Technical molybdenum oxide is the largest segment with 55.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading molybdenum companies?

Global leaders include Freeport-McMoRan, Codelco, Southern Copper, CMOC.

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