Market overview
The global long term care market is worth USD 1.0 tn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 1.7 tn by 2036, growing at a 5.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Nursing homes and residential care is the largest by setting segment.
| Scope | Revenue of providers of long-term care for older and disabled people: nursing homes, assisted living, home-based care and adult day services. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Healthcare |
| Value 2025 | USD 950 bn |
| Value 2026 | USD 1.0 tn |
| Value 2036 | USD 1.7 tn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 5.5% |
| Volume 2026 | 87.1 million care recipients |
| Volume 2036 | 111 million care recipients |
| Average price 2026 | USD 11,510 per care recipient |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Long Term Care market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 1,002 bn |
| 2027 | USD 1,057 bn |
| 2028 | USD 1,116 bn |
| 2029 | USD 1,177 bn |
| 2030 | USD 1,242 bn |
| 2031 | USD 1,310 bn |
| 2032 | USD 1,382 bn |
| 2033 | USD 1,458 bn |
| 2034 | USD 1,538 bn |
| 2035 | USD 1,623 bn |
| 2036 | USD 1,712 bn |
Long Term Care market segmentation
By setting
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nursing homes and residential care | 45.0% | 40.2% | USD 451 bn | 4.3% |
| Assisted living | 14.0% | 16.6% | USD 140 bn | 7.3% |
| Home-based care | 33.0% | 35.7% | USD 331 bn | 6.3% |
| Adult day and other | 8.0% | 7.5% | USD 80.2 bn | 4.8% |
By payer
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public | 64.0% | 60.3% | USD 641 bn | 4.9% |
| Out of pocket | 24.0% | 26.1% | USD 241 bn | 6.4% |
| Private insurance | 12.0% | 13.7% | USD 120 bn | 6.9% |
By service type
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skilled nursing | 34.0% | 33.0% | USD 341 bn | 5.2% |
| Personal and custodial care | 28.0% | 27.0% | USD 281 bn | 5.1% |
| Rehabilitation | 14.0% | 14.0% | USD 140 bn | 5.5% |
| Memory and dementia care | 14.0% | 17.0% | USD 140 bn | 7.6% |
| Palliative care | 10.0% | 9.0% | USD 100 bn | 4.4% |
By age group
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 65 | 14.0% | 13.0% | USD 140 bn | 4.7% |
| 65 to 79 | 36.0% | 34.0% | USD 361 bn | 4.9% |
| 80 and above | 50.0% | 53.0% | USD 501 bn | 6.1% |
By provider ownership
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private for-profit | 46.0% | 45.0% | USD 461 bn | 5.3% |
| Not-for-profit | 34.0% | 33.0% | USD 341 bn | 5.2% |
| Government-run | 20.0% | 22.0% | USD 200 bn | 6.5% |
Top 25 countries for long term care by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 74.5% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 94.4%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | USD 281 bn | 28.0% | USD 449 bn | 4.8% |
| 2 | Japan | USD 90.2 bn | 9.0% | USD 130 bn | 3.7% |
| 3 | Germany | USD 75.2 bn | 7.5% | USD 120 bn | 4.8% |
| 4 | China | USD 70.2 bn | 7.0% | USD 214 bn | 11.8% |
| 5 | France | USD 55.1 bn | 5.5% | USD 83.9 bn | 4.3% |
| 6 | United Kingdom | USD 50.1 bn | 5.0% | USD 80.5 bn | 4.8% |
| 7 | Netherlands | USD 35.1 bn | 3.5% | USD 53.1 bn | 4.2% |
| 8 | Canada | USD 35.1 bn | 3.5% | USD 56.5 bn | 4.9% |
| 9 | Italy | USD 30.1 bn | 3.0% | USD 46.2 bn | 4.4% |
| 10 | South Korea | USD 25.1 bn | 2.5% | USD 53.1 bn | 7.8% |
| 11 | Spain | USD 24.3 bn | 2.4% | USD 46.4 bn | 6.7% |
| 12 | Australia | USD 24.3 bn | 2.4% | USD 42.5 bn | 5.8% |
| 13 | Sweden | USD 23.7 bn | 2.4% | USD 37.3 bn | 4.7% |
| 14 | Switzerland | USD 20.7 bn | 2.1% | USD 32.9 bn | 4.7% |
| 15 | Belgium | USD 16.9 bn | 1.7% | USD 26.9 bn | 4.7% |
| 16 | Austria | USD 14.3 bn | 1.4% | USD 22.8 bn | 4.7% |
| 17 | Denmark | USD 12.6 bn | 1.3% | USD 20.0 bn | 4.7% |
| 18 | Norway | USD 12.0 bn | 1.2% | USD 19.0 bn | 4.7% |
| 19 | Finland | USD 10.2 bn | 1.0% | USD 16.1 bn | 4.6% |
| 20 | Brazil | USD 8.6 bn | 0.9% | USD 17.6 bn | 7.4% |
| 21 | Ireland | USD 7.6 bn | 0.8% | USD 12.0 bn | 4.6% |
| 22 | Poland | USD 6.7 bn | 0.7% | USD 10.6 bn | 4.7% |
| 23 | Mexico | USD 6.3 bn | 0.6% | USD 13.0 bn | 7.5% |
| 24 | Taiwan | USD 5.8 bn | 0.6% | USD 11.8 bn | 7.3% |
| 25 | Turkey | USD 5.1 bn | 0.5% | USD 8.0 bn | 4.6% |
| Rest of world | USD 56.3 bn | 5.6% | USD 89.4 bn | 4.7% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- Brookdale Senior Living
- Clariane
- Emeis
- Sunrise Senior Living
- Extendicare
- Ensign Group
- Life Care Centers of America
- BrightSpring Health Services
- Addus HomeCare
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Benesse Holdings
- Sompo Care
- Bupa
- HC-One
- Amedisys
- Barchester Healthcare
- Care UK
- Alloheim
- Nichii Gakkan
- Ryman Healthcare
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Chartwell Retirement Residences
- Sonida Senior Living
- Regis Healthcare
- Estia Health
- Summerset
- Oceania Healthcare
- Atria Senior Living
- Sienna Senior Living
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the long term care market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 5.5% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by setting, by payer, by service type, by age group, by provider ownership. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the long term care market?
The global long term care market is estimated at USD 950 bn in 2025 and USD 1.0 tn in 2026.
How fast will the long term care market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 1.7 tn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 5.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 710 bn.
Which country is the largest market for long term care?
United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 281 bn in 2026, 28.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 44.5%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, China is growing fastest at 11.8% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which long term care segment is largest?
In the by setting split, Nursing homes and residential care is the largest segment with 45.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading long term care companies?
Global leaders include Brookdale Senior Living, Clariane, Emeis, Sunrise Senior Living.
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