Market overview
The global geothermal energy market is worth USD 12.8 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 26.3 bn by 2036, growing at a 7.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Power generation is the largest by use segment.
| Scope | Revenue from geothermal electricity generation and direct-use heat sales, including district heating, greenhouse and industrial process heat from geothermal reservoirs. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Services and Utilities |
| Value 2025 | USD 12.0 bn |
| Value 2026 | USD 12.8 bn |
| Value 2036 | USD 26.3 bn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 7.5% |
| Volume 2026 | 158,168 gigawatt-hours |
| Volume 2036 | 295,114 gigawatt-hours |
| Average price 2026 | USD 80,800 per gigawatt-hour |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Geothermal Energy market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 12.8 bn |
| 2027 | USD 13.7 bn |
| 2028 | USD 14.8 bn |
| 2029 | USD 15.9 bn |
| 2030 | USD 17.1 bn |
| 2031 | USD 18.3 bn |
| 2032 | USD 19.7 bn |
| 2033 | USD 21.2 bn |
| 2034 | USD 22.8 bn |
| 2035 | USD 24.5 bn |
| 2036 | USD 26.3 bn |
Geothermal Energy market segmentation
By use
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power generation | 72.0% | 71.7% | USD 9.2 bn | 7.5% |
| District heating | 16.0% | 14.5% | USD 2.0 bn | 6.5% |
| Industrial and agricultural heat | 12.0% | 13.7% | USD 1.5 bn | 9.0% |
By technology
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash steam | 40.0% | 23.4% | USD 5.1 bn | 1.9% |
| Binary cycle | 34.0% | 28.8% | USD 4.3 bn | 5.8% |
| Dry steam | 16.0% | 7.4% | USD 2.0 bn | -0.5% |
| Enhanced geothermal systems | 10.0% | 40.4% | USD 1.3 bn | 23.6% |
By resource temperature
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 180 C high temperature | 52.0% | 48.0% | USD 6.6 bn | 6.6% |
| 100 to 180 C medium temperature | 31.0% | 32.0% | USD 4.0 bn | 7.8% |
| Under 100 C low temperature | 17.0% | 20.0% | USD 2.2 bn | 9.3% |
By plant size
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10 MW | 23.0% | 20.0% | USD 2.9 bn | 6.0% |
| 10 to 50 MW | 44.0% | 43.0% | USD 5.6 bn | 7.2% |
| Over 50 MW | 33.0% | 37.0% | USD 4.2 bn | 8.7% |
By operator
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public utilities | 37.0% | 32.0% | USD 4.7 bn | 6.0% |
| Independent power producers | 45.0% | 48.0% | USD 5.8 bn | 8.2% |
| Industrial and direct-use operators | 18.0% | 20.0% | USD 2.3 bn | 8.6% |
Top 25 countries for geothermal energy by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 83.5% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 96.3%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | USD 2.8 bn | 22.0% | USD 6.3 bn | 8.5% |
| 2 | Indonesia | USD 1.8 bn | 14.0% | USD 4.0 bn | 8.5% |
| 3 | Philippines | USD 1.2 bn | 9.0% | USD 2.2 bn | 6.5% |
| 4 | Turkey | USD 1.2 bn | 9.0% | USD 2.3 bn | 7.0% |
| 5 | New Zealand | USD 767 mn | 6.0% | USD 1.5 bn | 7.0% |
| 6 | Kenya | USD 767 mn | 6.0% | USD 1.6 bn | 7.5% |
| 7 | Iceland | USD 639 mn | 5.0% | USD 1.0 bn | 4.9% |
| 8 | Italy | USD 639 mn | 5.0% | USD 948 mn | 4.0% |
| 9 | Japan | USD 511 mn | 4.0% | USD 1.2 bn | 8.5% |
| 10 | Mexico | USD 447 mn | 3.5% | USD 790 mn | 5.9% |
| 11 | Germany | USD 424 mn | 3.3% | USD 811 mn | 6.7% |
| 12 | China | USD 316 mn | 2.5% | USD 843 mn | 10.3% |
| 13 | Chile | USD 234 mn | 1.8% | USD 545 mn | 8.8% |
| 14 | Costa Rica | USD 174 mn | 1.4% | USD 332 mn | 6.7% |
| 15 | Ethiopia | USD 129 mn | 1.0% | USD 345 mn | 10.3% |
| 16 | El Salvador | USD 96 mn | 0.8% | USD 184 mn | 6.8% |
| 17 | Guatemala | USD 72 mn | 0.6% | USD 137 mn | 6.7% |
| 18 | France | USD 52 mn | 0.4% | USD 100 mn | 6.7% |
| 19 | Hungary | USD 40 mn | 0.3% | USD 74 mn | 6.4% |
| 20 | Russia | USD 29 mn | 0.2% | USD 55 mn | 6.5% |
| 21 | Switzerland | USD 22 mn | 0.2% | USD 42 mn | 6.8% |
| 22 | Portugal | USD 17 mn | 0.1% | USD 32 mn | 6.6% |
| 23 | Papua New Guinea | USD 12 mn | 0.09% | USD 24 mn | 7.5% |
| 24 | Tanzania | USD 8.9 mn | 0.07% | USD 24 mn | 10.2% |
| 25 | Canada | USD 6.4 mn | 0.05% | USD 16 mn | 9.5% |
| Rest of world | USD 478 mn | 3.7% | USD 967 mn | 7.3% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- Ormat
- Enel Green Power
- Calpine
- Chevron
- Pertamina Geothermal Energy
- Energy Development Corporation
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Turboden
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
- Toshiba Energy Systems
- Contact Energy
- Mercury NZ
- Star Energy Geothermal
- Reykjavik Energy
- KenGen
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Fervo Energy
- Eavor
- Sage Geosystems
- Climeon
- Controlled Thermal Resources
- Zanskar
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the geothermal energy market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 7.5% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by use, by technology, by resource temperature, by plant size, by operator. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the geothermal energy market?
The global geothermal energy market is estimated at USD 12.0 bn in 2025 and USD 12.8 bn in 2026.
How fast will the geothermal energy market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 26.3 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 7.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 13.6 bn.
Which country is the largest market for geothermal energy?
United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 2.8 bn in 2026, 22.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 45.0%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, Japan is growing fastest at 8.5% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which geothermal energy segment is largest?
In the by use split, Power generation is the largest segment with 72.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading geothermal energy companies?
Global leaders include Ormat, Enel Green Power, Calpine, Chevron.
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