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Geothermal Energy Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global geothermal energy market is worth USD 12.8 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 26.3 bn by 2036, growing at a 7.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Power generation is the largest by use segment.

USD 12.8 bnMarket size 2026
USD 26.3 bnForecast 2036
7.5%CAGR 2026-2036
United StatesLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global geothermal energy market is worth USD 12.8 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 26.3 bn by 2036, growing at a 7.5% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Power generation is the largest by use segment.

ScopeRevenue from geothermal electricity generation and direct-use heat sales, including district heating, greenhouse and industrial process heat from geothermal reservoirs.
IndustryServices and Utilities
Value 2025USD 12.0 bn
Value 2026USD 12.8 bn
Value 2036USD 26.3 bn
CAGR 2026-20367.5%
Volume 2026158,168 gigawatt-hours
Volume 2036295,114 gigawatt-hours
Average price 2026USD 80,800 per gigawatt-hour
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Geothermal Energy market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global geothermal energy market is forecast to grow from USD 12.8 bn in 2026 to USD 26.3 bn by 2036, more than doublingGlobal market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 7.5%
Geothermal Energy market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 12.0 bn; 2026: USD 12.8 bn; 2027: USD 13.7 bn; 2028: USD 14.8 bn; 2029: USD 15.9 bn; 2030: USD 17.1 bn; 2031: USD 18.3 bn; 2032: USD 19.7 bn; 2033: USD 21.2 bn; 2034: USD 22.8 bn; 2035: USD 24.5 bn; 2036: USD 26.3 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 7.5%.202512.8 bn202618.3 bn203126.3 bn20367.5% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 12.8 bn
2027USD 13.7 bn
2028USD 14.8 bn
2029USD 15.9 bn
2030USD 17.1 bn
2031USD 18.3 bn
2032USD 19.7 bn
2033USD 21.2 bn
2034USD 22.8 bn
2035USD 24.5 bn
2036USD 26.3 bn

Geothermal Energy market segmentation

By use

Exhibit 2Power generation is the largest segment by use, with 72.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by use
Geothermal Energy market share by use, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by use. Power generation: 72.0%; District heating: 16.0%; Industrial and agricultural heat: 12.0%.Power generation72.0%District heating16.0%Industrial and agricultural heat12.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Power generation72.0%71.7%USD 9.2 bn7.5%
District heating16.0%14.5%USD 2.0 bn6.5%
Industrial and agricultural heat12.0%13.7%USD 1.5 bn9.0%

By technology

Exhibit 3Enhanced geothermal systems adds the most revenue by technology, growing from USD 1.3 bn in 2026 to USD 10.6 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by technology, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Geothermal Energy market by technology, 2026 and 2036Revenue by technology in 2026 and 2036. Enhanced geothermal systems: USD 1.3 bn in 2026, USD 10.6 bn in 2036, change +733%; Binary cycle: USD 4.3 bn in 2026, USD 7.6 bn in 2036, change +75%; Flash steam: USD 5.1 bn in 2026, USD 6.2 bn in 2036, change +21%; Dry steam: USD 2.0 bn in 2026, USD 1.9 bn in 2036, change −5%.20262036 forecastChangeEnhanced geothermal systems+733%1.3 bn10.6 bnBinary cycle+75%4.3 bn7.6 bnFlash steam+21%5.1 bn6.2 bnDry steam−5%2.0 bn1.9 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Flash steam40.0%23.4%USD 5.1 bn1.9%
Binary cycle34.0%28.8%USD 4.3 bn5.8%
Dry steam16.0%7.4%USD 2.0 bn-0.5%
Enhanced geothermal systems10.0%40.4%USD 1.3 bn23.6%

By resource temperature

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Over 180 C high temperature52.0%48.0%USD 6.6 bn6.6%
100 to 180 C medium temperature31.0%32.0%USD 4.0 bn7.8%
Under 100 C low temperature17.0%20.0%USD 2.2 bn9.3%

By plant size

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Under 10 MW23.0%20.0%USD 2.9 bn6.0%
10 to 50 MW44.0%43.0%USD 5.6 bn7.2%
Over 50 MW33.0%37.0%USD 4.2 bn8.7%

By operator

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Public utilities37.0%32.0%USD 4.7 bn6.0%
Independent power producers45.0%48.0%USD 5.8 bn8.2%
Industrial and direct-use operators18.0%20.0%USD 2.3 bn8.6%

Top 25 countries for geothermal energy by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 83.5% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 96.3%.

Exhibit 4United States is the largest country market at USD 2.8 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 45.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Geothermal Energy market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. United States: USD 2.8 bn, 22.0%; Indonesia: USD 1.8 bn, 14.0%; Philippines: USD 1.2 bn, 9.0%; Turkey: USD 1.2 bn, 9.0%; New Zealand: USD 767 mn, 6.0%; Kenya: USD 767 mn, 6.0%; Iceland: USD 639 mn, 5.0%; Italy: USD 639 mn, 5.0%; Japan: USD 511 mn, 4.0%; Mexico: USD 447 mn, 3.5%.United States2.8 bn 22.0%Indonesia1.8 bn 14.0%Philippines1.2 bn 9.0%Turkey1.2 bn 9.0%New Zealand767 mn 6.0%Kenya767 mn 6.0%Iceland639 mn 5.0%Italy639 mn 5.0%Japan511 mn 4.0%Mexico447 mn 3.5%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1United StatesUSD 2.8 bn22.0%USD 6.3 bn8.5%
2IndonesiaUSD 1.8 bn14.0%USD 4.0 bn8.5%
3PhilippinesUSD 1.2 bn9.0%USD 2.2 bn6.5%
4TurkeyUSD 1.2 bn9.0%USD 2.3 bn7.0%
5New ZealandUSD 767 mn6.0%USD 1.5 bn7.0%
6KenyaUSD 767 mn6.0%USD 1.6 bn7.5%
7IcelandUSD 639 mn5.0%USD 1.0 bn4.9%
8ItalyUSD 639 mn5.0%USD 948 mn4.0%
9JapanUSD 511 mn4.0%USD 1.2 bn8.5%
10MexicoUSD 447 mn3.5%USD 790 mn5.9%
11GermanyUSD 424 mn3.3%USD 811 mn6.7%
12ChinaUSD 316 mn2.5%USD 843 mn10.3%
13ChileUSD 234 mn1.8%USD 545 mn8.8%
14Costa RicaUSD 174 mn1.4%USD 332 mn6.7%
15EthiopiaUSD 129 mn1.0%USD 345 mn10.3%
16El SalvadorUSD 96 mn0.8%USD 184 mn6.8%
17GuatemalaUSD 72 mn0.6%USD 137 mn6.7%
18FranceUSD 52 mn0.4%USD 100 mn6.7%
19HungaryUSD 40 mn0.3%USD 74 mn6.4%
20RussiaUSD 29 mn0.2%USD 55 mn6.5%
21SwitzerlandUSD 22 mn0.2%USD 42 mn6.8%
22PortugalUSD 17 mn0.1%USD 32 mn6.6%
23Papua New GuineaUSD 12 mn0.09%USD 24 mn7.5%
24TanzaniaUSD 8.9 mn0.07%USD 24 mn10.2%
25CanadaUSD 6.4 mn0.05%USD 16 mn9.5%
Rest of worldUSD 478 mn3.7%USD 967 mn7.3%
Exhibit 5United States and Indonesia account for 43% of the USD 13.6 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Geothermal Energy market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 12.8 bn. United States: +USD 3.5 bn; Indonesia: +USD 2.2 bn; Turkey: +USD 1.1 bn; Philippines: +USD 1.0 bn; Kenya: +USD 814 mn; 20 other countries: +USD 4.4 bn; Rest of world: +USD 489 mn. Market value 2036: USD 26.3 bn.Market value 202612.8 bnUnited States+3.5 bnIndonesia+2.2 bnTurkey+1.1 bnPhilippines+1.0 bnKenya+814 mn20 other countries+4.4 bnRest of world+489 mnMarket value 203626.3 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • Ormat
  • Enel Green Power
  • Calpine
  • Chevron
  • Pertamina Geothermal Energy
  • Energy Development Corporation

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Turboden
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
  • Toshiba Energy Systems
  • Contact Energy
  • Mercury NZ
  • Star Energy Geothermal
  • Reykjavik Energy
  • KenGen

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Fervo Energy
  • Eavor
  • Sage Geosystems
  • Climeon
  • Controlled Thermal Resources
  • Zanskar

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the geothermal energy market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 7.5% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by use, by technology, by resource temperature, by plant size, by operator. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the geothermal energy market?

The global geothermal energy market is estimated at USD 12.0 bn in 2025 and USD 12.8 bn in 2026.

How fast will the geothermal energy market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 26.3 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 7.5% from 2026, an increase of USD 13.6 bn.

Which country is the largest market for geothermal energy?

United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 2.8 bn in 2026, 22.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 45.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, Japan is growing fastest at 8.5% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which geothermal energy segment is largest?

In the by use split, Power generation is the largest segment with 72.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading geothermal energy companies?

Global leaders include Ormat, Enel Green Power, Calpine, Chevron.

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