Market overview
The global biofuel market is worth USD 147 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 239 bn by 2036, growing at a 5.0% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Fuel ethanol is the largest by fuel segment.
| Scope | Liquid biofuels for transport: fuel ethanol, biodiesel (FAME) and renewable diesel (HVO), valued at fuel sales. |
|---|---|
| Industry | Chemicals and Materials |
| Value 2025 | USD 140 bn |
| Value 2026 | USD 147 bn |
| Value 2036 | USD 239 bn |
| CAGR 2026-2036 | 5.0% |
| Volume 2026 | 189,583 million litres |
| Volume 2036 | 285,159 million litres |
| Average price 2026 | USD 0.78 per litre |
| Report price | Starts from USD 1,999 |
| Published | November 2026 |
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Biofuel market size and forecast, 2026-2036
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Year | Market value |
|---|---|
| 2026 | USD 147 bn |
| 2027 | USD 154 bn |
| 2028 | USD 162 bn |
| 2029 | USD 170 bn |
| 2030 | USD 179 bn |
| 2031 | USD 188 bn |
| 2032 | USD 197 bn |
| 2033 | USD 207 bn |
| 2034 | USD 217 bn |
| 2035 | USD 228 bn |
| 2036 | USD 239 bn |
Biofuel market segmentation
By fuel
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel ethanol | 66.0% | 56.5% | USD 97.0 bn | 3.4% |
| Biodiesel (FAME) | 20.0% | 17.1% | USD 29.4 bn | 3.4% |
| Renewable diesel and HVO | 14.0% | 26.4% | USD 20.6 bn | 11.9% |
By feedstock
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corn and sugar crops | 60.0% | 49.8% | USD 88.2 bn | 3.0% |
| Vegetable oils | 26.0% | 27.4% | USD 38.2 bn | 5.5% |
| Waste oils and fats | 12.0% | 16.7% | USD 17.6 bn | 8.5% |
| Cellulosic and others | 2.0% | 6.2% | USD 2.9 bn | 17.5% |
By generation
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First-generation (food and energy crops) | 58.0% | 44.0% | USD 85.3 bn | 2.1% |
| Advanced (waste and residue-based) | 36.0% | 46.0% | USD 52.9 bn | 7.6% |
| Emerging (algae and e-fuels) | 6.0% | 10.0% | USD 8.8 bn | 10.5% |
By end use
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road transport | 78.0% | 68.0% | USD 115 bn | 3.6% |
| Aviation | 6.0% | 14.0% | USD 8.8 bn | 14.3% |
| Marine and rail | 5.0% | 7.0% | USD 7.3 bn | 8.6% |
| Heating and power | 11.0% | 11.0% | USD 16.2 bn | 5.0% |
By sales channel
| Segment | Share 2026 | Share 2036 | Value 2026 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandated blending by obligated parties | 66.0% | 62.0% | USD 97.0 bn | 4.3% |
| Direct fleet and industrial supply | 20.0% | 21.0% | USD 29.4 bn | 5.5% |
| Export and traded cargoes | 14.0% | 17.0% | USD 20.6 bn | 7.1% |
Top 25 countries for biofuel by revenue
Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 84.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 95.5%.
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
| # | Country | Value 2026 | Share 2026 | Value 2036 | CAGR 2026-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | USD 41.2 bn | 28.0% | USD 55.6 bn | 3.0% |
| 2 | Brazil | USD 29.4 bn | 20.0% | USD 50.5 bn | 5.6% |
| 3 | China | USD 11.8 bn | 8.0% | USD 19.4 bn | 5.1% |
| 4 | India | USD 11.8 bn | 8.0% | USD 30.6 bn | 10.1% |
| 5 | Indonesia | USD 8.8 bn | 6.0% | USD 14.4 bn | 5.0% |
| 6 | Germany | USD 5.9 bn | 4.0% | USD 7.9 bn | 3.0% |
| 7 | France | USD 4.4 bn | 3.0% | USD 6.2 bn | 3.5% |
| 8 | Argentina | USD 3.7 bn | 2.5% | USD 5.5 bn | 4.1% |
| 9 | Canada | USD 3.7 bn | 2.5% | USD 5.7 bn | 4.6% |
| 10 | Thailand | USD 2.9 bn | 2.0% | USD 4.8 bn | 5.0% |
| 11 | Netherlands | USD 1.5 bn | 1.0% | USD 2.5 bn | 4.9% |
| 12 | Spain | USD 1.4 bn | 1.0% | USD 2.3 bn | 4.9% |
| 13 | United Kingdom | USD 1.4 bn | 1.0% | USD 2.3 bn | 4.9% |
| 14 | Italy | USD 1.4 bn | 0.9% | USD 2.0 bn | 4.2% |
| 15 | Poland | USD 1.3 bn | 0.9% | USD 2.0 bn | 4.9% |
| 16 | Malaysia | USD 1.3 bn | 0.9% | USD 2.2 bn | 5.6% |
| 17 | Belgium | USD 1.2 bn | 0.8% | USD 1.8 bn | 4.2% |
| 18 | Colombia | USD 1.1 bn | 0.7% | USD 1.9 bn | 5.5% |
| 19 | Sweden | USD 1.1 bn | 0.7% | USD 1.7 bn | 4.9% |
| 20 | Finland | USD 985 mn | 0.7% | USD 1.6 bn | 5.0% |
| 21 | Singapore | USD 985 mn | 0.7% | USD 1.7 bn | 5.8% |
| 22 | Austria | USD 897 mn | 0.6% | USD 1.4 bn | 4.3% |
| 23 | Philippines | USD 808 mn | 0.6% | USD 1.5 bn | 6.3% |
| 24 | Australia | USD 808 mn | 0.6% | USD 1.4 bn | 5.7% |
| 25 | Japan | USD 808 mn | 0.6% | USD 1.4 bn | 5.7% |
| Rest of world | USD 6.6 bn | 4.5% | USD 11.0 bn | 5.3% |
Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.
Competitive landscape
Group 1: Global leaders
- POET
- ADM
- Neste
- Raizen
- Valero Energy
- Cosan
- Chevron Renewable Energy Group
Group 2: Regional and specialist players
- Cargill
- Wilmar International
- Eni
- Diamond Green Diesel
- Louis Dreyfus
- Darling Ingredients
- Phillips 66
- Shell
- TotalEnergies
Group 3: Emerging and niche players
- Greenfield Global
- Verbio
- Gevo
- Musim Mas
- Aemetis
- Alto Ingredients
Research methodology
Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the biofuel market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.
The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 5.0% is calculated from the resulting values.
The market is divided by fuel, by feedstock, by generation, by end use, by sales channel. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.
Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.
Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.
Frequently asked questions
How big is the biofuel market?
The global biofuel market is estimated at USD 140 bn in 2025 and USD 147 bn in 2026.
How fast will the biofuel market grow?
It is forecast to reach USD 239 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 5.0% from 2026, an increase of USD 92.4 bn.
Which country is the largest market for biofuel?
United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 41.2 bn in 2026, 28.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 56.0%.
Which country is growing fastest?
Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 10.1% a year from 2026 to 2036.
Which biofuel segment is largest?
In the by fuel split, Fuel ethanol is the largest segment with 66.0% of 2026 revenue.
Who are the leading biofuel companies?
Global leaders include POET, ADM, Neste, Raizen.
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