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Biofuel Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026-2036

The global biofuel market is worth USD 147 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 239 bn by 2036, growing at a 5.0% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Fuel ethanol is the largest by fuel segment.

USD 147 bnMarket size 2026
USD 239 bnForecast 2036
5.0%CAGR 2026-2036
United StatesLargest country

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5 segmentation views25 countries2026 to 2036 yearly forecast

Market overview

The global biofuel market is worth USD 147 bn in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 239 bn by 2036, growing at a 5.0% CAGR. United States is the largest country market and Fuel ethanol is the largest by fuel segment.

ScopeLiquid biofuels for transport: fuel ethanol, biodiesel (FAME) and renewable diesel (HVO), valued at fuel sales.
IndustryChemicals and Materials
Value 2025USD 140 bn
Value 2026USD 147 bn
Value 2036USD 239 bn
CAGR 2026-20365.0%
Volume 2026189,583 million litres
Volume 2036285,159 million litres
Average price 2026USD 0.78 per litre
Report priceStarts from USD 1,999
PublishedNovember 2026

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Biofuel market size and forecast, 2026-2036

Exhibit 1The global biofuel market is forecast to grow from USD 147 bn in 2026 to USD 239 bn by 2036, a rise of 63%Global market value in USD: 2025 base year, 2026 estimate and forecast to 2036. CAGR 2026 to 2036: 5.0%
Biofuel market value, 2025 to 2036Market value by year. 2025: USD 140 bn; 2026: USD 147 bn; 2027: USD 154 bn; 2028: USD 162 bn; 2029: USD 170 bn; 2030: USD 179 bn; 2031: USD 188 bn; 2032: USD 197 bn; 2033: USD 207 bn; 2034: USD 217 bn; 2035: USD 228 bn; 2036: USD 239 bn. Compound annual growth rate 2026 to 2036: 5.0%.2025147 bn2026188 bn2031239 bn20365.0% CAGR

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

YearMarket value
2026USD 147 bn
2027USD 154 bn
2028USD 162 bn
2029USD 170 bn
2030USD 179 bn
2031USD 188 bn
2032USD 197 bn
2033USD 207 bn
2034USD 217 bn
2035USD 228 bn
2036USD 239 bn

Biofuel market segmentation

By fuel

Exhibit 2Fuel ethanol is the largest segment by fuel, with 66.0% of 2026 revenueEstimated share of 2026 global revenue, by fuel
Biofuel market share by fuel, 2026Share of 2026 revenue by fuel. Fuel ethanol: 66.0%; Biodiesel (FAME): 20.0%; Renewable diesel and HVO: 14.0%.Fuel ethanol66.0%Biodiesel (FAME)20.0%Renewable diesel and HVO14.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Fuel ethanol66.0%56.5%USD 97.0 bn3.4%
Biodiesel (FAME)20.0%17.1%USD 29.4 bn3.4%
Renewable diesel and HVO14.0%26.4%USD 20.6 bn11.9%

By feedstock

Exhibit 3Corn and sugar crops adds the most revenue by feedstock, growing from USD 88.2 bn in 2026 to USD 119 bn by 2036Estimated revenue in USD by feedstock, 2026 and 2036 forecast
Biofuel market by feedstock, 2026 and 2036Revenue by feedstock in 2026 and 2036. Corn and sugar crops: USD 88.2 bn in 2026, USD 119 bn in 2036, change +35%; Vegetable oils: USD 38.2 bn in 2026, USD 65.6 bn in 2036, change +72%; Waste oils and fats: USD 17.6 bn in 2026, USD 40.0 bn in 2036, change +127%; Cellulosic and others: USD 2.9 bn in 2026, USD 14.7 bn in 2036, change +401%.20262036 forecastChangeCorn and sugar crops+35%88.2 bn119 bnVegetable oils+72%38.2 bn65.6 bnWaste oils and fats+127%17.6 bn40.0 bnCellulosic and others+401%2.9 bn14.7 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Corn and sugar crops60.0%49.8%USD 88.2 bn3.0%
Vegetable oils26.0%27.4%USD 38.2 bn5.5%
Waste oils and fats12.0%16.7%USD 17.6 bn8.5%
Cellulosic and others2.0%6.2%USD 2.9 bn17.5%

By generation

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
First-generation (food and energy crops)58.0%44.0%USD 85.3 bn2.1%
Advanced (waste and residue-based)36.0%46.0%USD 52.9 bn7.6%
Emerging (algae and e-fuels)6.0%10.0%USD 8.8 bn10.5%

By end use

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Road transport78.0%68.0%USD 115 bn3.6%
Aviation6.0%14.0%USD 8.8 bn14.3%
Marine and rail5.0%7.0%USD 7.3 bn8.6%
Heating and power11.0%11.0%USD 16.2 bn5.0%

By sales channel

SegmentShare 2026Share 2036Value 2026CAGR 2026-36
Mandated blending by obligated parties66.0%62.0%USD 97.0 bn4.3%
Direct fleet and industrial supply20.0%21.0%USD 29.4 bn5.5%
Export and traded cargoes14.0%17.0%USD 20.6 bn7.1%

Top 25 countries for biofuel by revenue

Countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales in the country, not by where the product is made. The ten largest hold 84.0% of 2026 revenue and the 25 countries below together hold 95.5%.

Exhibit 4United States is the largest country market at USD 41.2 bn in 2026, and the three largest countries hold 56.0% of global revenueEstimated 2026 revenue in USD and share of the global market, ten largest countries
Biofuel market, ten largest countries in 2026Ten largest countries by 2026 revenue. United States: USD 41.2 bn, 28.0%; Brazil: USD 29.4 bn, 20.0%; China: USD 11.8 bn, 8.0%; India: USD 11.8 bn, 8.0%; Indonesia: USD 8.8 bn, 6.0%; Germany: USD 5.9 bn, 4.0%; France: USD 4.4 bn, 3.0%; Argentina: USD 3.7 bn, 2.5%; Canada: USD 3.7 bn, 2.5%; Thailand: USD 2.9 bn, 2.0%.United States41.2 bn 28.0%Brazil29.4 bn 20.0%China11.8 bn 8.0%India11.8 bn 8.0%Indonesia8.8 bn 6.0%Germany5.9 bn 4.0%France4.4 bn 3.0%Argentina3.7 bn 2.5%Canada3.7 bn 2.5%Thailand2.9 bn 2.0%

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

#CountryValue 2026Share 2026Value 2036CAGR 2026-36
1United StatesUSD 41.2 bn28.0%USD 55.6 bn3.0%
2BrazilUSD 29.4 bn20.0%USD 50.5 bn5.6%
3ChinaUSD 11.8 bn8.0%USD 19.4 bn5.1%
4IndiaUSD 11.8 bn8.0%USD 30.6 bn10.1%
5IndonesiaUSD 8.8 bn6.0%USD 14.4 bn5.0%
6GermanyUSD 5.9 bn4.0%USD 7.9 bn3.0%
7FranceUSD 4.4 bn3.0%USD 6.2 bn3.5%
8ArgentinaUSD 3.7 bn2.5%USD 5.5 bn4.1%
9CanadaUSD 3.7 bn2.5%USD 5.7 bn4.6%
10ThailandUSD 2.9 bn2.0%USD 4.8 bn5.0%
11NetherlandsUSD 1.5 bn1.0%USD 2.5 bn4.9%
12SpainUSD 1.4 bn1.0%USD 2.3 bn4.9%
13United KingdomUSD 1.4 bn1.0%USD 2.3 bn4.9%
14ItalyUSD 1.4 bn0.9%USD 2.0 bn4.2%
15PolandUSD 1.3 bn0.9%USD 2.0 bn4.9%
16MalaysiaUSD 1.3 bn0.9%USD 2.2 bn5.6%
17BelgiumUSD 1.2 bn0.8%USD 1.8 bn4.2%
18ColombiaUSD 1.1 bn0.7%USD 1.9 bn5.5%
19SwedenUSD 1.1 bn0.7%USD 1.7 bn4.9%
20FinlandUSD 985 mn0.7%USD 1.6 bn5.0%
21SingaporeUSD 985 mn0.7%USD 1.7 bn5.8%
22AustriaUSD 897 mn0.6%USD 1.4 bn4.3%
23PhilippinesUSD 808 mn0.6%USD 1.5 bn6.3%
24AustraliaUSD 808 mn0.6%USD 1.4 bn5.7%
25JapanUSD 808 mn0.6%USD 1.4 bn5.7%
Rest of worldUSD 6.6 bn4.5%USD 11.0 bn5.3%
Exhibit 5Brazil and India account for 43% of the USD 92.4 bn the market is forecast to add by 2036Forecast revenue added between 2026 and 2036 by country, in USD
Biofuel market, where the growth to 2036 comes fromRevenue added between 2026 and 2036. Market value 2026: USD 147 bn. Brazil: +USD 21.1 bn; India: +USD 18.9 bn; United States: +USD 14.4 bn; China: +USD 7.6 bn; Indonesia: +USD 5.5 bn; 20 other countries: +USD 20.4 bn; Rest of world: +USD 4.5 bn. Market value 2036: USD 239 bn.Market value 2026147 bnBrazil+21.1 bnIndia+18.9 bnUnited States+14.4 bnChina+7.6 bnIndonesia+5.5 bn20 other countries+20.4 bnRest of world+4.5 bnMarket value 2036239 bn

Source: Compare Market Research analysis.
© 2026 Compare Market Research. All rights reserved.

Competitive landscape

Group 1: Global leaders

  • POET
  • ADM
  • Neste
  • Raizen
  • Valero Energy
  • Cosan
  • Chevron Renewable Energy Group

Group 2: Regional and specialist players

  • Cargill
  • Wilmar International
  • Eni
  • Diamond Green Diesel
  • Louis Dreyfus
  • Darling Ingredients
  • Phillips 66
  • Shell
  • TotalEnergies

Group 3: Emerging and niche players

  • Greenfield Global
  • Verbio
  • Gevo
  • Musim Mas
  • Aemetis
  • Alto Ingredients

Research methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the research framework that we apply to all of the markets we cover. The 2025 base for the biofuel market is built from the volume sold and the price that buyers pay, and is cross-checked against the size of the wider industry the market belongs to. Where a market can be sized in more than one way, the routes are compared before a figure is set.

The forecast runs year by year from the 2025 base to 2036. Growth in each year reflects demand from the industries that buy the product, adoption of new technology, pricing, regulation and replacement cycles. Volume and price are modelled together, so revenue in each year equals volume multiplied by average price. The 2026 to 2036 compound annual growth rate of 5.0% is calculated from the resulting values.

The market is divided by fuel, by feedstock, by generation, by end use, by sales channel. The 25 largest countries are ranked by revenue earned from sales to buyers in each country, not by where the product is made. Segment values and country values add up to the market total in every year, and every report is checked for consistency before it is published.

Companies are placed in three groups: global leaders, regional and specialist players, and emerging and niche players. The groups describe how companies compete in the market. They are not a ranking and they are not market shares.

Our analysts also carry out primary research. Customized reports add interviews with key opinion leaders, such as senior executives, technical specialists and buyers, to test the assumptions behind the numbers for the question being asked.

Read the full research methodology

Frequently asked questions

How big is the biofuel market?

The global biofuel market is estimated at USD 140 bn in 2025 and USD 147 bn in 2026.

How fast will the biofuel market grow?

It is forecast to reach USD 239 bn by 2036, a compound annual growth rate of 5.0% from 2026, an increase of USD 92.4 bn.

Which country is the largest market for biofuel?

United States is the largest market by revenue at USD 41.2 bn in 2026, 28.0% of the global total. The three largest countries together hold 56.0%.

Which country is growing fastest?

Among the ten largest markets, India is growing fastest at 10.1% a year from 2026 to 2036.

Which biofuel segment is largest?

In the by fuel split, Fuel ethanol is the largest segment with 66.0% of 2026 revenue.

Who are the leading biofuel companies?

Global leaders include POET, ADM, Neste, Raizen.

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